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CPS1167  Indrani B.

                                 1                                              (15)
                                             1 − 1
                                ∑( + 1)   1 +  =  + 1.
                                     1
                                                         1
                                =1

            The linearized PMLE  ̃ is given by


                                                                                  (16)


            in which   is as given in Case 1. The PMLE ̃  corresponding to the linearized
                                                       1
                      1
            PMLE ̃ in (16) is obtained by solving (15).

            Case  3  : (0 ≤  ≤  − 1 and  =  + 1, … , )Following  similar  derivations,
                            1
                                               
            the modified MLP (MMLP) in this case is given by
                                                     if =1                    (17)
                = {         − ̃ 2
                                  
              :   ̃ +̃ log [   ̃ + (,  ]  if 1 <  ≤  
                       2
                                              )


            3.2. Conditional Median Predictor
                The median of the conditional distribution of   , given  , can be used as
                                                            :    
            a predictor of  :   .  This predictor is called the Conditional Median Predictor
                                                   
                                                                  
            (CMP) of  :   .  and will be denoted by  :  . The CMP  :   of  :    is such that
               
               :       1
            ∫     (| ) =  in which (| ) is  the  conditional  density  of   , given
                                            
                      
                         2                                               : 
                            :  −   −
                                     
             =  . Since [    −    | =  ] where  and  are the location and scale
             
                                          
                                              
                  
            parameters respectively (in general), has the same distribution as the random
            variable   , the CMP     of    is given by
                      :       :   : 
                                                       − 1
                                     =  +  log [    +   ]
                                          1
                                   :                   , 
            Where      is  the   -th  order  statistics  out  of     units  from  Exp(1)  and
                     :                                  
            Med[   ] =   .
                  :   : 
                                                              
            Case 1 : 1 ≤  ≤  − 1 and  = 1, … ,  The CMP  :  of  :   is given by
                          1
                                                  1
                                                − ̂ 1                      (18)
                               = ̂ + ̂ log [   ̂  +   ]  ,
                            :   1                , 
            in which ̂  and ̂ can be used as the linearized uniformly minimum variance
                      1
            unbiased  estimator  (UMVUE)  of   and  to  reduce  the  variability  in  the
                                               1
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