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CPS1198 Firano Z. et al.




                               Hedonian Brownian motion index for Morocco
                                                      1
                                                                     1,2
                                        Firano Zakaria , Filali A. Fatine
                                          1 University of Mohammed V Rabat
                                                    2 CIRPEC
                                                          1

                  Abstract
                  In this paper, we propose a new approach to modelling a real estate price
                  index in Morocco, based on the hedonic approach. The basic idea of this paper
                  is to verify the importance of the characteristics of real estate in the real estate
                  price. Thus, based on data from the three major cities of the capital region of
                  Morocco  (RABAT  Region),  we  estimated  a  hedonic  model  that  takes  into
                  account spatial autocorrelation. The results obtained through this modelling
                  generally confirm that the surface area and location of real estate (land, house,
                  villa and apartment) have a significant influence on the price of real estate. In
                  addition, and because of the static nature of the database, which refers to one
                  year, we have proposed a new approach to building the real estate price index,
                  namely the stochastic Brownian motion approach. The results claim that this
                  index is in perfect agreement with the real estate price index based on the
                  repeat sales approach used and developed by the Central Bank.

                  Keywords
                  Hedonic index; Brownian motion, real estate market.

                  JEL Classification
                  G12, E44

                  1.  Introduction
                      In  Morocco,  two  phases  characterize  the  evolution  of  the  real  estate
                  market in Morocco. The first phase is the one before the 2000s, when real
                  estate prices were stagnating with real estate supply out of phase with the
                  needs of the population. From the 2000s and precisely during the year 2003,
                  the real estate sector benefited from several tax and regulatory advantages
                  that boosted the real estate market.
                      The method adopted in the property price index in Morocco is that of
                  repeat sales. The index based on this approach consists in selecting all the
                  properties  that,  during  the  period  considered,  gave  rise  to  two  or  more
                  transactions. The difference in price of a building between its purchase and its
                  resale determines the growth of the price of this property during the period.

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