Page 139 - Contributed Paper Session (CPS) - Volume 4

CPS2157 Ezatul Nisha Abdul Rahman et al.
2. Methodology
In this study, population dataset from Malaysia and other selected country
such as Japan, USA, Australia and Singapore from 1950 to 2050 are obtained
from the dataset from the United Nations. In addition, cohort- component
projection method is applied for estimating population projection after the
year of 2018 (UN Population Projections: Methodology and key Assumptions).
The key areas of consideration that will be taken into account are the
population distribution of the selected country by age group of young age
from 0 to 14, working age from 15- 59 and aged from the age of 60 years of
age till above. The results are presented in population distribution by the
group as it will reflect in the population pyramid of Malaysia. This study also
will focus on the working group at the age of 14-59 as they are the working
group that will affect the contribution in the form of taxation and future policy
of the nation.

3. Result
The result is obtained from the projection of demographic data by age
group gain from United Nations Dataset. This is to show the trend of
demographic transition by age group of Malaysia from post war to 2050. There
are also changes in the population trend as the younger generation is going
to be slowly dipping, and the older age group is staying health extending their
life.
3.1 Age Structure

Figure 1: Population by Age Group in Malaysia

The numbers of the ageing population will slowly increase while the young
age group (0-14) will slowly decrease and will be surpassed by the old age
group by the year 2050 (Figure 1). A country such as Japan, USA, Australia and
Singapore had reached that intersection way before Malaysia. Japan in 1990
had reached the point where the population of aged is slowly surpassing the
young age group.

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