Page 49 - Contributed Paper Session (CPS) - Volume 5
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CPS861 Madeline Dumaua C.
                   This study will come up with timely and precise estimates of the total farm
               equipment  and  facilities  at  the  municipal  level  without  spending  much  on
               gathering  information  directly  from  each  local  area  through  small  area
               estimation.  Synthetic  estimator  is  considered  to  analyze  its  feasibility  in
               estimating the total number of farm equipment and facilities in the municipal
               level. Synthetic estimates will then be evaluated in terms of their precision and
               be compared with direct estimates.
                   Results  of  the  study  can  provide  information  on  the  condition  and
               development of farm facilities and equipment in the municipal levels. It can
               also  assist  the  government  in  policy-making  to  further  strengthen  the
               agricultural  machinery  system  at  small  areas.  Better  condition  of  the
               agricultural  sector  will  mean  maximizing  its  contribution  to  our  country’s
               growth.

               2.   Methodology
                   2.1 Source of Data
                   The data used in this study came from the pilot provinces identifies in the
               1991  Census  of  Agriculture  and  Fisheries  (CAF)  as  population.  The  pilot
               provinces  are  Laguna,  Bukidnon,  Isabela  and  Marinduque  which  represent
               some  statistical  properties  under  varying  agricultural  activities.  Laguna,  for
               example, represents the areas where urbanization is fast encroaching on farm
               lands,  Bukidnon  represents  areas  producing  corn  and  permanent  crops,
               Isabela  is  mainly  on  rice  production  and  Marinduque  represents  small
               provinces.
                   Particularly, data on the total farm equipment and facilities owned for the
               four pilot provinces from the agricultural section of CAF is used in this study
               to illustrate the properties of synthetic estimator for some selected parameters
               at the municipal level. The characteristics used in the study pertaining to the
               total farm facilities and equipment in the country included are the total of
               plow, harrow, sprayer, thresher, and hand tractor for the four pilot provinces.
               The auxiliary variable used in this study is the total number of households,
               which came from the 1990 CPH.

                   2.2 Simulation of samples
                   Empirical work was done by simulating 1000 samples for each municipality
               adopting the 2002 CAF design. Using the 1000 generated samples, synthetic
               estimates of selected parameters was computed at the municipal level. The
               1000  samples  would  be  sufficient  enough  to  give  a  good  picture  of  the
               sampling distribution of the statistics to be evaluated.
                   Samples were generated in each municipality using the 2002 Census of
               Agriculture  (CA).  For  example,  a  municipality  has  9  barangays.  The  list  of
               barangays was sorted in descending order with respect on their total farm area

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