Page 333 - Contributed Paper Session (CPS) - Volume 7
P. 333

CPS2118 Yang Wang
                          Z kt    Y kt  *  P kt XM                                                                          (19)
                         Z      Y     P XM
                          k ( 1)t  k ( 1)t  k ( 1)t

               4.  Discussion and Conclusion
                   Based on production theory and translog GDP methodology introduced
               by  Diewert  and  Morrison  (1986),  we  further  extend  Inklaar  and  Diewert
               (2016)’s framework to simultaneously calculate real GDP on expenditure-side
               and output-side and isolate the effect of terms of trade on real GDP ,which
               enables us to measure the real GDP on both output-side and expenditure-side
               and the contribution of terms of trade to the real GDP growth across space
               and time in a more consistent way.
                   Empirical research should be done in next step. The input data are PPPs
               data for domestic consumption, export and import. We can get these from
               PWT 9.0. After estimating the real GDP on expenditure-side and output-side,
               these results can be compared with datasets such as PWT, WDI, UQICD et al.
               The estimates for terms of trade contribution factor can be compared with the
               existing works based on time dimension.

               References
               1.  Denison,E.  F.  “International  transactions  in  measures  of  the  nation’s
                   production.”Survey of Current Business,1981,61(5), pp.17-28.
               2.  Diewert, W. E. “Changes in the Terms of Trade and Canada’s Productivity
                   Performance.”UBC Working Paper, 2008.
               3.  Diewert,  W.  E.  and  Morrison,  C.  J.  “Adjusting  output  and  productivity
                   indexes for changes in the terms oftrade.” Economic Journal, 1986, 96(3),
                   pp.659-679.
               4.  Diewert, W. E., and Yu, E. “New Estimates of Real Income and Multifactor
                   Productivity  Growth  for  the  Canadian  Business  Sector,  1961-2011.”
                   International Productivity Monitor, 2012, pp.27-48.
               5.  Feenstra, R. C.;Heston, A.;Timmer, M. P. and Deng H. Y. “Estimating real
                   production and expenditures across nations: a proposal for improving the
                   Penn World Tables.”The Review of Economics and Statistics, 2009, 91(1),
                   pp.201-212.
               6.  Feenstra, R. C.;Inklaar, R. and Timmer, M.P.“The next generation of the
                   Penn World Table.” NBER Working Paper, 2013.
               7.  Feenstra,  R.  C. ; Inklaar,  R.  and  Timmer,  M.P.“PWT  8.0–a  user
                   guide.”Groningen Growth and Development Centre Working Paper, 2013.
               8.  Feenstra, R. C.;Ma, H.;Neary J. P. and Prasada Rao D. S.“Who shrunk
                   China? Puzzles in the measurement of real GDP.”The Economic Journal,
                   2013, 123 (573), pp.1100-1129.
               9.  Inklaar,  R.,  and  Diewert  E.  “Measuring  Industry  Productivity  and  Cross


                                                                  320 | I S I   W S C   2 0 1 9
   328   329   330   331   332   333   334   335   336   337   338