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IPS30 Stefan D. et al.



                                 The use of registers in the German censuses
                                           2011, 2021 and beyond
                                 Stefan Dittrich, Thomas Koerner, Markus Zwick
                                          Federal Statistical Office, Germany

                  Abstract
                  The history of population and housing censuses in Germany is special for a
                  number of reasons. The most obvious feature is that after the last traditional
                  census in 1987 the next population census did only take place in 2011. The
                  census  in  2011  was  prepared  under  the  restrictions  of  a  judgment  of  the
                  German constitutional court that preceded the census in 1987 and imposed
                  strict data protection rules. Still under the impression of the public debate in
                  1987, in 2011 a combined census model was launched integrating elements
                  of register use, a conventional census (on housing), and a sample survey. The
                  results from the sample survey are used in order to correct the data for errors
                  due to over- and undercoverage as well as to collect such variables that were
                  not available from registers. The paper, in a first part, gives insight into the
                  backgrounds to the creation of this specific model and provides an overview
                  of the experiences made in the 2011 census. In its second part, the paper
                  presents the lessons learned for the implementation of a similar combined
                  model in 2021 and introduces the current plans to move to a purely register-
                  based census model in the post-2021 era.

                  Keywords
                  Combined census; register-assisted census; register-based census; correction
                  of over- and undercoverage in population registers; census post-2021
                  developments

                  1. Introduction
                      Introducing a combined census model in Germany was not straightforward
                  for  several  reasons.  Firstly,  fewer  suitable  registers  are  available  than  in
                  countries that are adopting register-based approaches. Secondly, strict data
                  protection  regulations  that  were  established  in  the  context  of  the  last
                  traditional German census in 1987 make it challenging to find solutions to link
                  registers from different areas. Against this background neither a person ID nor
                  a dwelling ID have been introduced so far, which makes any linkage between
                  registers a burdensome undertaking. At the same time, a traditional census
                  based  on  interviewer-administered  data  collection  is  not  popular  among
                  stakeholders due to the sheer size of the cost.
                      Since 1983, the traditional census data collection has also enjoyed only
                  limited  popularity  among  the  respondents.  The  last  traditional  census  in

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