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IPS153 Jay L. et al.

                              Transforming population and migration statistics
                                 using admin data: Progress on the England
                                     and Wales Transformation Journey
                                           Jay Lindop, Becky Tinsley
                                    Office for National Statistics, England and Wales

                  Abstract
                  The  Office  for  National Statistics  (ONS)  has  been  using  integrated  data  to
                  pursue the UK Government ambition that ‘censuses after 2021 will be based
                  on alternative sources of data.’ ONS is working with other National Statistics
                  Institutes (NSIs) which are also looking at the use of administrative data for
                  their censuses. The Administrative Data Census project has made progress in:
                  producing a range of Research Outputs that are typically produced by the ten-
                  yearly  census;  comparing  these  outputs  with  official  statistics; and  seeking
                  feedback from users. A key milestone in this ambitious programme of work is
                  to put administrative data at the core of population and migration statistics
                  for  England  and  Wales  by  Spring  2020.  This  paper  summarises  progress
                  towards  this  milestone,  where  the  aim  is  to  produce  a  coherent  set  of
                  estimates for both population size (stocks)  and components of population
                  change (flows), highlighting methodological challenges and our approach to
                  tackle them in order to deliver this transformational change.

                  Keywords
                  Population statistics; Migration statistics; Administrative data; Data
                  integration; Transformation

                  1.  Introduction
                      The  Office  for  National  Statistics  (ONS)  is  transforming  the  way  we
                  produce population and migration statistics, to better meet the needs of our
                  users. Working in partnership across the Government Statistical Service (GSS),
                                                                                     1
                  we are progressing a programme of work to put administrative data  at the
                  core  of  our  evidence  on  international  migration  (UK)  and  on  population
                  (England and Wales) by 2020 . This ambition is based on our current plans for
                                              2
                  acquiring access to the further administrative data sources we need to deliver
                  this. Our work programme is also an integral part of the work over the next
                  four years to make a recommendation to the UK Government in 2023 about
                  the future of population and housing censuses in England and Wales.

                  1  Administrative data refers to data collected by other organisations (such as government departments) to
                  support the delivery of services or for other operational purposes.
                  2  International migration is a reserved policy area whereas population is devolved so ONS official statistics
                  cover migration at a UK level and population for England and Wales. See section 2 which explains the
                  different systems for measuring the population in Northern Ireland and Scotland.
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