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STS441 Burcu Zühal İ.E. et al.



                                   Linking micro data sets for firms’ FX risk
                                             monitoring database
                                  Burcu Zühal İman Er, Özgül Atılgan Ayanoğlu
                                  Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, Ankara, Turkey

                  Abstract
                  The purpose of this paper is to present the experiences of the Central Bank of
                  the Republic of Turkey (CBRT) in establishing a data hub which provides a
                  comprehensive data set for FX risk monitoring of non-financial corporations
                  (NFCs).  The  increasing  net  FX  open  position  of  NFCs,  coupling  with
                  depreciating TRY, has arisen the need to compile micro level data on the FX
                  positions of real sector companies. CBRT established the Systemic Risk Data
                  Monitoring  System  to  collect  liabilities  and  assets  information  from  NFCs
                  which have high FX bank loans. In order to be able to have a comprehensive
                  understanding of the situations of NFCs, CBRT initiated the Real Sector Data
                  Hub project where company level data from various sources are compiled and
                  linked to the data collected from companies. Credit database from the Banks
                  Association  of  Turkey,  financial  tables  from  Revenue  Administration,
                  employment information from Social Security Institution, export and import
                  data from Ministry of Trade are among the many sources which are planned
                  to  be  integrated  in  the  data  hub.  We  believe  that  this  project  will  enable
                  decision makers to rely on solid micro level analysis while taking policy actions.

                  Keywords
                  FX risk, Systemic Risk Data Monitoring System, Real Sector Data Hub

                  1.  Introduction
                      The problems in the American mortgage market triggered the most severe
                  financial crisis in the United States in 2007 and led to the “Global Financial
                  Crisis”.  Several  developments  led  to  the construction  of  this  crisis  process,
                  including the complex securities and unstandardized derivative contracts, high
                  leverage and inadequate risk  management. These factors together created
                  systemic risk which can be defined as the risk associated with the collapse or
                  failure of a company, industry, financial institution or an entire economy. One
                  of the most important features of systemic risk is that the risk spreads from
                  unhealthy institutions to healthy ones through a transmission mechanism. It is
                  an  endogenous  factor  in  a  market  system  and  therefore,  it  is  deemed
                  unavoidable. Emerging markets experienced particularly aggravating effects
                  through contagion arising from the interconnectedness of economies (BIS,
                  2016).


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