Page 181 - Special Topic Session (STS) - Volume 3
P. 181

STS539 Chenglong Li
            removed. At any point in time, the process operates in either IC or OC state,
            which is only partially observable through 3 sampling or inspection. Let  =
            [; ;] be the state probability vector of the process at the beginning of the
              th
               monitoring cycle. Then, the transition probability matrix  has the basic
            form of
                                               t →  t →
                                          =  [            ]                        (3)
                                               t oc→ic  t oc→o
                where → refers to the probability of the process status at the beginning
            of the current monitoring cycle to be in the state of  conditioned on the
            previous one in the state of . The stationary distribution of a Markov chain is
            able to be derived if we obtain the elements of .
                In order to characterize the operation of a SPRT chart within a sample,
            suppose, the interval between the lower limit  and upper limit ℎ is portioned
            into  subintervals of equal length. The width of each subinterval is given by
            ∆= (ℎ − )⁄ . Thus, the test statistic  experiences  different transient states,
            i.e., 1 = [,  + ∆] , 2 = [ + ∆,  + 2∆] , ,,  = [ + ( − 1)∆,  + ∆] , ,, 
            = [ + ( − 1)∆, ℎ] , within the control limits before going to an “IC state” (
            < ) or an “OC state” ( > ℎ). Assume that the probability density within the
             th
              subinterval [ + ( − 1)∆,  + ∆] for  = 1,2, …  , is concentrated as a
            probability mass at the center,  =  + ( − 0.5)∆. We further define the two
            absorbing states, 0 = [−∞, ] and +1 = [ℎ, +∞], such that there is a total of
             + 2 subintervals. Let us adopt a simplified notation scheme to label the states
            by transforming the real value  to an integer between 0 and  + 1 in the
            following manner, for  ∈  →  = .
                Thus, the SPRT inspection system can be modelled as a Markov chain and
            the set of states space is described by a pair of integers (, ). A variable, ,
            relates to the status of the process:  = 0 for a process is IC, and  = 1 for an
            OC process. The index  ∈ {0,1, … ,, … ,  + 1} indicates which subinterval the
            test statistic  is falling into, as defined before. In this way, the Markov chain
            (, ) has 2 × ( + 2) states. Note that, a SPRT inspection stops only when the
                                                                                    
            process is in one of the four states: (0,0), (0,  + 1), (1,0), (1,  + 1). We let  (0,0)
                       
                                 
            ,     ,  (1,0)   and  (1,s+1) , respectively, denote the corresponding expected
               (0,s+1)
            probabilities when a monitoring cycle originates at IC state and ends at the
                                                        
                                                                
                                                 
            four states, and likewise, we have   (0,0)  ,  (0,s+1)  ,  (1,0)   and    . These
                                                                           (1,s+1)
            probabilities  are  relevant  to  and  are  used  for  computing  the  transition
            probability matrix  as shown in Eq. (3), after arrangement resulting in
                                      +    +     
                               = [  (0,0)  (0,s+1)  (1,s+1)  (1,0) ]               (4)
                                                     
                                                              
                                           
                                      +  (0,s+1)  +  (1,s+1)   (1,0)
                                    (0,0)
                Applying the property of Markov chain, we can obtain these probabilities.
            The  technical  details  are  omitted  here  for  brevity.  Then,  the  stationary
            distribution  ∗ can be derived as follows,
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