Page 195 - Special Topic Session (STS) - Volume 3
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STS540 Zhi Song et al.
                                                   2
                                             2
                                             +  − 2 
                                                           
                                                  
                                             
                                       =                   .
                                       
                                                       2
                                                2(1 −  )

            Note that ( |) = 1, ( |) = 1. Then the EC scheme is given by  =
                                         
                          
                                                                                    
            max{1,  + (1 − ) −1 } ,  = 1,2, … and with the starting value  = 1. Next,
                     
                                                                            0
            we incorporate the similar FIR features as in Section 2.1 in the EC scheme for
            quicker detection of an initial OOC situation.
                1.  EC scheme with FIR version of Lucas and Saccucci [1] [EC-fir] We
            develop using the FIR feature with the fixed control limit EC scheme (denoted
            as EC-fir) in the line of Lucas and Saccucci [1], which can be constructed in the
            following way:
                                                               λ
                                 =   {  ∈  ℕ|  > 1 + √  }.
                                                  
                                                             2 − λ
                                                          λ
            We  set  the  starting  value   0ℎ  = 1 + ℎ × √ 2−λ .  When  ℎ  =  0 ,  the  EC-fir
            scheme is the fixed control limit EC scheme without FIR features.
                 2.  EC scheme with FIR version of Rhoads et al. [6] [EC-fvacl] The FIR
            feature  with  the  EC  scheme  based  on  the  variance-adjusted  control  limit,
            denoted as EC-fvacl, is formulated as follows:


                                                       λ
                                                                       2
                         =   {  ∈  ℕ|  > 1 + √  ((1 − (1 − λ) )}.
                                          
                                                     2 − λ

                                                    λ
            with the starting value  0ℎ  = 1 + ℎ × √ 2−λ (λ(2 − λ)) (cf. Knoth [3]).

            3.  Optimization of EWMA schemes with FIR
                In this section, we focus on optimally designing an FIR-EWMA scheme that
            restricts  early  false  alarm  probabilities  and  facilitates  quick  detection.  As
            mentioned earlier, use of the FIR feature in a monitoring scheme has gained a
            great deal of attention among the researchers over the years. Nevertheless,
            the majority of the existing schemes with the FIR feature set the initial value
            of the monitoring statistic at the halfway between the process target value and
            the control limits. That is, they are based on a 50% advanced head start. The
            OOC performance of such scheme is often better, specially for detecting shifts
            at an early stage. Nevertheless, the probability of a few early false alarms also
            increases. Therefore, we prefer to design an optimal FIR-based EWMA scheme
            selecting the head start or starting value Z0h that ideally increases sensitivity
            without compromising with the early false alarm probabilities.



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