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CPS1071 Ibarra Aaron R. Poliquit et al.


                              Redesigning of the Semi-Annual Survey of Dairy
                                        Enterprises in the Philippines
                                            1
                                                                                        2
                                                             1
                      Ibarra Aaron R. Poliquit , Jay R. Manlapaz , Divina Gracia L. del Prado ,
                                     Abubakar S. Asaad , Erniel B. Barrios
                                                                         4
                                                       1,3
                                1 Statistical Methodology Unit, Philippine Statistics Authority
                             2 Economic Sectoral Statistics Section, Philippine Statistics Authority
                               3 College of Public Health, University of the Philippines Manila
                                 4 School of Statistics, University of the Philippines Diliman

                  Abstract
                  Listing of Dairy Farms was conducted in eight (8) priority provinces to generate
                  an updated list of dairy enterprises. A probability proportional size systematic
                  sample  of  barangays  with  the  number  of  animals  on  the  milk  line  as  size
                  measure and a dairy farm sample size of 25 per sampled barangay generated
                  coefficient of variation and absolute percentage error below 10% for major-
                  producing provinces which are the provinces that have barangays with 25 or
                  more  dairy  farms.  The  simulation  results  provided  an  evidence  that  the
                  number of animals on the milk line as the size measure is better than the
                  number  of  female  breeders  as  the  size  measure  in  terms  of  reliability  of
                  provincial milk production estimates.

                  Keywords
                  Probability Proportional to Size Systematic; LH Algorithm; Simulation

                  1.  Introduction
                      The Semi-Annual Survey of Dairy Enterprises (SSDE) is one of the regular
                  surveys conducted by the Livestock and Poultry Statistics Division (LPSD) of
                  the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA). This survey aims to generate data on
                  dairy production and inventory of dairy animals nationwide1. Currently, the
                  sampling frame used is based on the Dairy Enterprise Inventory Profiling (DEIP)
                  2002  which  consists  of  46  provinces  where  dairying  exists.  Due  to  the
                  undercoverage of the sampling frame constructed in 2002, the estimate for
                  milk production and dairy animal inventory are underestimated2. On August
                  2016, Listing of Dairy Farms (LDF) was conducted in eight (8) priority provinces
                  identified  by  the  Philippine  Carabao  Center  (PCC)  and  the  National  Dairy
                  Authority  (NDA).  This  activity  aims  to  generate  an  updated  list  of  dairy
                  enterprises3.  Along  with  the  updated  list,  a  new  estimation  procedure  is
                  necessary to determine the appropriate number of sample barangays for each
                  province and number of sample dairy enterprises for each sampled barangay
                  in eight (8) priority provinces.



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