Page 127 - Contributed Paper Session (CPS) - Volume 3

CPS1965 Chin Tsung R. et al.
We used MAPE and MSE to examine the goodness-of-fit of the original LC
model and modified models for the Malaysian mortality data. The modified
method produced smaller MAPE and MSE compared to the LC model for the
Malaysian data (see Table 3).

Table 3. MAPE and MSE of the original LC and the modified LC models
Gender LC Modified LC
Male MAPE 0.0411 0.0155
MSE 0.4874 0.0081
Female MAPE 0.0232 0.0134
MSE 0.0054 0.0007

Figure 1. Observed (points) and fitted (lines) rates for males in Malaysia (logit
scale) in 1991 and 2015 and other years using (a) Male 1 and (b) Female 1
models

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