Page 148 - Contributed Paper Session (CPS) - Volume 3
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CPS1973 Matúš M. et al.
                          does not play any role when estimating discontinuities in the function
                  itself,  however,  it  effects  the  situation  when  estimating  jumps  in  the
                  corresponding derivatives (see Figure 1 for an illustration).
                     Let’s  assume  that                       ,  where         is  the  set  of
                                                                                          
                  standard B-spline basis functions of the order   ∈  ℕ and  =  ( , . . . ,  ) is
                                                                                        
                                                                           
                                                                                 1
                  the vector of unknown parameters which needs to be estimated to obtain the
                  estimate of  . Similarly, for the shock processes{  , . . . ,  −1 } we define
                                                                    0
                               0
                                                , for   =  0, . . . ,   −  1, where () denotes the
                                                                                +
                 positive  part  of    ∈  ℝ .  It  is  easy  to  see  that  the  set  of  functions
                                                defines a truncated power spline basis of order
                   ∈ {0, . . . ,   −  1} over a set of knot points  , which are, without any loss
                 of generality, assumed to be unique.
                     Finally, the sparsity principle is introduced with respect to   ()  parameters,
                             ()
                  such that    = 0 holds for almost all indexes   =  1, . . . ,  and   =  0, . . . ,  −
                  1  (thus,  there  is  no  structural  break  at  the  location   ),  but  some  few
                                                                           
                  exceptions—existing changepoints. Moreover, for some identifiability reasons,
                  it is also assumed that all shock processes are inactive at the beginning (for
                  instance,  ( ) = 0, and thus,    , for all                          =  0, . . . ,   −  1).
                               1
                            
                      The estimate for the underlying regression function  in (1) can be now
                  obtained as a solution of the minimization problem

                  (3)     Minimize

                       (  ,  0 , . . . ,  p−1 )  ∈ ℝ
                                   
                              
                         
                          

                                         
                  where    = ( , . . . ,  ) is  the  response  vector,   = ( , . . . ,  ) ,  and
                                                                                     
                                                                             1
                                1
                                                                                   
                                      
                                                                       
                                        ,  for    =  0, . . . ,   −  1  are  the  unknown  vectors  of
                  parameters to be estimated Parameters   >  0 and   >  0 are some tuning
                                                           
                                                                       
                  parameters, which controls for the overall amount of smoothness in the final
                  estimate (parameter   ) and the amount of sparsity in the parameter vectors
                                        
                                       , for   =  0, . . . ,   −  1 (tuning parameter  ) which are
                                                                                 
                  included in the   type penalty  ( , . . . ,  −1 ). The penalty can take various
                                  1
                                                      0
                                                   1
                                                                                      ,
                                                            ,       ()   ()
                  forms (see below).  Matrices    = (ℎ ( ))    and     = (ℎ ℓ  ( ))
                                                                                   
                                                         
                                                      ℓ
                                                
                                                            ,ℓ=1
                                                                                      ,ℓ=1
                  stand  for  a  classical  smoothing  spline  design  matrix  and  a  j-order  jump
                  generating bases with sparse vectors of parameters                     , for
                    =  0, . . . ,   −  1 .  The   − norm  penalty  in  (3)  controls  for  the  overall
                                          2
                  smoothness of the estimate of  and  is such that    =  , where  is a
                                                                       
                                                  0
                  matrix of mutual products of second derivatives of the basis functions
                  .
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