Page 239 - Special Topic Session (STS) - Volume 2
P. 239

STS489 Glory A. et al.
                           2008        2012        2015         2017        2008-2017
              Fever
              no           1.00        1.00        1.00         1.00        1.00
              yes          1.06(0.87-1.29)  1.09(0.97-1.23)   1.18(1.03-1.35)   1.18(0.97-1.43)  1.12(1.04-1.20)
              Persistent
              Cough
              no           1.00        1.00        1.00         1.00        1.00
              yes          1.10(0.87-1.38)  0.92(0.81-1.04)   0.88(0.73-1.05)   0.74(0.55-0.98)  0.93(0.85-1.02)
              Chest Pain
              no           1.00        1.00        1.00         1.00        1.00
              yes          0.91(0.72-1.12)  0.90(0.77-1.05)   0.83(0.69-1.01)   0.95(0.69-1.31)  0.90(0.81-0.99)
              Joint
              Pain/Arthritis   1.00    1.00        1.00         1.00        1.00
              no
              yes          1.14(0.94-1.38)  1.15(1.00-1.30)   1.01(0.86-1.18)   1.22(0.96-1.56)  1.12(1.03-1.22)
              Weight Loss
              no           1.00        1.00        1.00         1.00        1.00
              yes          0.95(0.63-1.35)  0.84(0.66-1.07)   0.74(0.55-0.99)   0.61(0.35-0.99)  0.82(0.70-0.96)
              Diabetes
              no           1.00        1.00        1.00         1.00        1.00
              yes          1.37(1.05-1.77)  1.22(1.04-1.41)   1.14(0.88-1.51)   1.17(0.85-1.59)  1.19(1.06-1.33)
              Year
              2008         -           -           -            -           1.00
              2012         -           -           -            -           1.01(0.88-1.18)
              2015         -           -           -            -           0.72(0.62-0.83)
              2017         -           -           -            -           0.61(0.52-0.71)

            4.  Discussion and Conclusion
                Using a combination of advanced statistical and GIS methods, this study
            was able to quantify the spatial variation in hypertension at the sub-national
            level of district, and evaluate temporal trends in prevalent hypertension. At the
            same time, determinants of hypertension in South African adult population
            were identified from 2008 to 2017. District municipalities across Western and
            Eastern Cape provinces had highest odds of hypertension while majority of
            districts in Limpopo province showed consistently low levels of hypertension
            burden across the four surveys. Geographic variation may be due to higher
            concentration of urban communities in the Western Cape as well as parts of
            Eastern Cape and North West relative to Limpopo and Mpumalanga provinces.
            Also,  the  extent  to  which  prevention  and  control  strategies/policies  are
            effectively implemented across district municipalities from 2014 to 2017, may
            partly explain the observed trend. However, this is not immediately clear as no
            district level information was collected. Risk factors of hypertension in South
            African adult population include age, coloured population group, education,
            lack  of  exercise  and  diabetes.  A  similar  pattern  of  high  prevalence  rate  of


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