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STS508 Suraya Ismail

                          The need for granular data in evidence-based
                           policies: The case of housing affordability in
                                             Malaysia
                                           Suraya Ismail
                             Khazanah Research Institute. Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia

            Abstract
            This paper highlights the need to have more data collected at the right spatial
            scale  to  provide  evidence-based  policies  for  managing  the  raising
            unaffordability of the housing market. The importance of aggregation is not
            to be underestimated but the need to have more granular  data is equally
            important. This is because cities demonstrate different trends of affordability
            due to the inherent structural differences of the housing markets and yet data
            is aggregated at the state level. Examples are given where data is available
            only  at  state  and  federal  level  for  ownership  rates  and  the  calculation  of
            affordability. Whilst this is useful, it is still not accurate.

            Keywords
            homeownership  rate,  household  incomes,  house  prices,  affordability  ratio,
            evidence-based policies

            1.  Homeownership and informality in Malaysia
                According to the latest available official figures in 2010, Malaysia has a home
            ownership rate of 72.5%. This is a relatively high number considering that home
            ownership rates in developed countries – apart from Singapore – were below
            70% in the same year (UK-67.4 % and US 66.5 %). However, Malaysia’s home
            ownership rates, which are published by the Malaysian Department of Statistics
            (DoS), also include ownership of informal houses. For instance, houses built by
            families at buffer zones of rivers are illegal but are still considered as owned
            homes in the Population and Housing Census. Formal housing stock is defined
            as housing which has been built with development orders from local authorities
            being  issued.  Conversely,  informal  housing  stock  are  houses  built  without
            development orders and/or houses built by the community and may include
            ‘kampung’ houses.
                There is a significant amount of housing stock that falls within the housing
            unit count in the 2010 Population and Housing Census that is not included in
            the  estimates  for  housing  stock  published  by  the  National  Property  and
            Information Centre (NAPIC), which only takes into account formal housing. In
            2010,  the  former  exceeded  the  latter  by  2.9  million.  This  means  there  are
            effectively near 3.0 million informal housing and this might well be the reason
            why  ownership  rates  are  higher  in  rural  areas.  Informality  in  this  case  has


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