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CPS1085 Manoj C.



                                  Inference on P(X < Y) for bivariate normal
                                     distribution based on censored data
                                                Manoj Chacko
                              Department of Statistics, University of Kerala, Trivandrum, India

                  Abstract
                  In this paper, we consider the problem of estimation of   =  (  <  ), when
                  (, ) follows bivariate normal distribution and measurement on one variable
                  is dificult. The maximum likelihood estimates (MLEs) and Bayes estimates (BEs)
                  of  are obtained based on censored data, in which censoring is done based
                  on the easily measurable variate. BEs are obtained based on both symmetric
                  and asymmetric loss functions. The percentile bootstrap and HPD confidence
                  intervals for  are also obtained. Monte Carlo simulations are carried out to
                  study  the  accuracy  of  the  proposed  estimators.  The  inferential  procedure
                  developed in this paper is also illustrated using water quality data.

                  Keywords
                  Maximum  likelihood  estimation;  Bayesian  estimation;  importance  sampling
                  method; order statistics.

                  1.  Introduction
                     Censored  sample  arises  in  a  life-testing  experiment  whenever  the
                  experimenter does not observe the failure times of all units placed on a life-
                  test. In medical or industrial studies, researchers have to treat the censored
                  data because they usually do not have sufficient time to observe the lifetime
                  of all subjects in the study. There are different types of censoring. The most
                  common censoring schemes are type-I and type-II censoring schemes. In this
                  paper,  we  consider  a  type-II  censoring  scheme  in  which  the  experiment
                  continues  until  a  pre-specified  number  of  failures,  (≤  )  occur.  The
                  remaining  (n-r)  items  are  regarded  as  censored  data.  Let  (,  )  be  an
                  absolutely continuous random vector with cummulative distribution function
                  (cdf)  (, )  and  joint  probability  density  function  (pdf)  (, ).  Let
                  (  ,  ),   =  1, 2, . . . ,   be  a  random  sample  of  size  n  drawn  from  the
                       
                    
                  distribution of (,  ). If the sample is ordered by the   i s then the  -variate
                                                                      ′
                                                                      
                  associated with the rth order statistic  :  is called the concomitant of the rth
                  order statistic and is denoted by  [:]  (see, David, 1973). Suppose that we only
                  observe (≤  ) smallest  X-sample  and  their  associated  values  of  the  Y  -
                  sample,  then ( (:)  ,  [:] ),   =  1, 2,· · · ,   is  called  a  type-II  right-censored
                  sample. The joint pdf of
                     (X (r) , Y ) = ((X (1:n)  , Y [1:n] ), (X (2:n)  ,  Y [2:n] )), . . . , (X (r:n)  , Y [r:n] )) is given by
                            [r]
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