Page 70 - Contributed Paper Session (CPS) - Volume 3
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CPS1946 Jittima D. et al.
                  Center (REIC), an agent taking charge of recording number of condominium
                  units launched. Findings shown in table below.

                  Table 1. The number of new residential units and the number of electric meters

                         Data           2013     2014     2015     2016     2017     Total
                   New residential     67,267  65,313  53,626  56,721  57,563  300,490
                   units
                   Electric meters     48,616  45,679  56,659  62,324  47,849  261,127
                          (%)           (72.3)   (69.9)  (105.7)  (109.9)    (83.1)   (86.9)
                  Source: MEA, REIC and calculated by BOT
                  Remarks: Two data sources for new residential units launched in 3 territories
                  from 2013-17.

                  Results are concluded as follows:
                  1.  The 5-year average ratio  between registered electricity meter and REIC
                      data stands around 87%. This exhibits meter data can be treated as one
                      proxy for estimating new residential units launched in each period.
                  2.  In  some  years,  numbers  of  meter  data  exceed  new  residential  units
                      launched, for instance, in 2015-16. This was caused by cumulative effect,
                      for new unsold units launched in 2013–14 were sold-out, also had meter
                      registered in years after.

                      To model the Occupancy Rate (OR), one presumption of un-occupancy
                  units is required. In the study, use of 20 kilowatt-hours (kWh)  or above energy
                                                                            3
                  consumption per month is set as a “Threshold” for occupied units. For other
                  group, units with power utilization less than 20 kilowatt-hours shall be treated
                  as unoccupied. It follows naturally that occupancy rate can be calculated by
                  taking number of units with electricity usage equal or above the Threshold,
                  dividing  by  total  number  of  units  (Equation  1).  If  OR  is  high,  this  means
                  demand for residential units is elevated. The relationship also holds in the
                  opposite direction.

                                               Number of occupied units
                        Occupancy Rate (OR) =                                    (Equation 1)
                                                 Total number of units



                  3  In the study, a Threshold of electricity usage (in units of kilowatt-hours per month) is imposed,
                  but  not  non-occupancy  duration  criteria  as  defined  by  Ecotagious  (2016).  To  improve  the
                  Threshold’s  validity  and  precision,  non–occupancy  period  such  as  students’  non-occupancy
                  during  school  holidays  should  be  factored-in  to  calculate  average  energy  consumption.
                  Following this concerns, the NOR and OR can reflect better reality. On balance, the computed
                  OR without imposition of duration criteria can be regarded as minimum occupancy level, actual
                  residency rate could be more.
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