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CPS886 Marcelo Bourguignon



                              A new regression model for positive random
                                                variables
                                          Marcelo Bourguignon
                  Departamento de Estat´ıstica, Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Norte, Natal, Brazil

               Abstract
               In this paper, we propose a regression model where the response variable is
               beta prime distributed using a new parameterization of this distribution that
               is indexed by mean and precision parameters. The proposed regression model
               is  useful  for  situations  where  the  variable  of  interest  is  continuous  and
               restricted to the positive real line and is related to other variables through the
               mean and precision parameters. The variance function of the proposed model
               has a quadratic form. In addition, the beta prime model has properties that its
               competitor distributions of the exponential family do not have. Estimation is
               performed by maximum likelihood. Finally, we also carry out an application to
               real data that demonstrates the usefulness of the proposed model.

               Keywords
               Beta  prime  distribution;  Variance  function;  Maximum  likelihood  estimator;
               Regression models

               1.  Introduction
                   The  concept  of  regression  is  very  important  in  statistical  data  analysis
               (Jørgensen,  1997).  In  this  context,  generalized  linear  models  (Nelder  &
               Wedderburn,  1972)  are  regression  models  for  response  variables  in  the
               exponential family.
                   The main aim of this paper is to propose a regression model that is tailored
               for situations where the response variable is measured continuously on the
               positive real line that is in several aspects, like the generalized linear models.
               In  particular,  the  proposed  model  is  based  on  the  assumption  that  the
               response  is  beta  prime  (BP)  distributed.  We  considered  a  new
               parameterization of the BP distribution in terms of the mean and precision
               parameters. Under this parameterization, we propose a regression model, and
               we allow a  regression structure for the mean and precision parameters by
               considering  the  mean  and  precision  structure  separately.  The  variance
               function  of  the  proposed  model  assumes  a  quadratic  form.  The  proposed
               regression model is convenient for modeling asymmetric data, and it is an
               alternative to the generalized linear models when the data presents skewness.
               Inference, diagnostic and selection tools for the proposed class of models will
               be presented.


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