Page 205 - Contributed Paper Session (CPS) - Volume 8
P. 205

CPS2252 Zakaya R.
                                        Table 1: Hsiao test
                              Hypothesis     F-stat      P-value
                              H 0           13.434427    4.818e-20**
                               1
                              H 0           1.4558271    0.11065515
                               2
                              H 0           55.35322     9.440e-30**
                               3
                               Note: significance at 5%.

                2.3 Unit root test
                   In other parts, we will discuss on stationarity of variables. The analysis
                of stationarity of exports, human resources development and institutional
                quality is necessary before econometric application, indeed, to avoid
                wrong regressions. The tests proposed by Levin-Lin-Chu (2002) and Im-
                Pesaran-Shin (2003) will be use to find the order of our series in panel.
                   The two (2) tests shows that we cannot reject the null hypothesis of a
                unit  root  for  Exports  (X),  Human  Resources  Development  (HDI)  and
                Institutional Quality (IQ) at 5% level of significance. The P-values obtained
                are less than 5%. So these variables are not stationary at level.
                                  Table 2: Unit root test (in level)

                    Test Im-Pesaran-Shin           Test de Levin-Lin-Chu
                     Intercept     Intercept+trend    Intercept    Intercept+trend      None
               X     0.0006*     0.0260*            0.0000*     0.0000*        0.3080
               HDI    1.0000     0.4326             1.0000      0.9921         1.0000
               IQ     0.0069*     0.9981            0.0009*     0.7702         0.3756
            Note : * means statistically significant at 5% level
            of significance. Source : Our construction on
            Eviews.

                But, after differencing them at one time, the null hypothesis of existence
            of a unit root was rejected at 5% level of significance for both tests, and then
            we conclude at the stationarity of these variables at their first difference.

                               Table 3: Unit root test (in difference)
                          Test Im-Pesaran-Shin            Test de Levin-Lin-Chu

                       Intercept    Intercept+trend    Intercept    Intercept+trend      None
                 X     0.0000*     0.0000*        0.0000*     0.0000*         0.0000*
                 HDI    0.0080*     0.1577        0.0000*     0.0000*         0.0202*
                 IQ     0.0005*     0.0000*       0.0000*     0.0000*         0.0000*
                 Note : * means statistically significant at 5% level of significance.  Source : Our
                 construction on Eviews


                                                               194 | I S I   W S C   2 0 1 9
   200   201   202   203   204   205   206   207   208   209   210