Page 62 - Contributed Paper Session (CPS) - Volume 8
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CPS2184 M Lutfor Rahman
                  (dependent variable: infected or non-infected), the results of fitting the simple
                  and multiple logistic regression models to the TB data are shown in Table 4.
                  Table 5 presents the results of hierarchical and network logistic regressions.
                      In the Table 4, the crude estimates show that the covariates age, diabetes
                  mellitus, exposure duration, sleep together, and eat together are significant at
                  1%  or  5%  level  of  significance.  Whereas,  the  variables  biological  product,
                  symptomatic period, age, contact type, and exposure duration are found to be
                  significant in multiple logistic regression. The household contacts are 6.819
                  times more likely to be infected than casual contacts. The variables in multiple
                  logistic regression have been selected by stepwise backward method based
                  on likelihood ratio.
                      Table 4: Estimates of parameters in simple (crude) and multiple logistic
                      regression (adjusted) analysis of TB networks in Portugal.
                  Characteri  Category                 Binary Logistic Regression
                  stics
                                               Simple Logistic      Multiple Logistic (Model 1)
                                         Coeffici  p-     Crude     Coeffici  p-    Adjusted
                                         ent       val     OR       ent      val     OR
                                                   ue      (95%              ue      (95%
                                                           CI)                       CI)
                     Intercept                                      -3.070    0.00
                                                                             0
                  Index patient characteristics
                  Biological   Bronchoalv                   1                         1
                    product     eolar
                    studied     lavage
                               Sputum     0.026    0.91   1.027     0.673    0.04   1.960
                                                   7    (0.623,1.69          5      (1.016-
                                                        2)NS                       3.782) *
                                          0.004    0.06   1.004     0.007    0.00   1.007
                  Symptomat                        4    (1.000,1.00          6      (1.002-
                  ic period                             9)NS                       1.013) **
                  days
                    Chest      Without                      1
                    radiograp  cavitation
                    hy                    -0.031    0.89  0.970
                              Cavitation           9    (0.602,1.56
                                                        1) NS
                  Contacts’ characteristics
                     Sex       Female                       1
                                Male      0.421    0.08   1.523
                                                   1    (0.949,2.44
                                                        4)NS
                   Age in                 0.020    0.00   1.020     0.024    0.00   1.024
                  years                            1    (1.009,1.0           3      (1.008-
                                                          32)**                    1.041) **
                                    No                      1

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