Page 236 - Contributed Paper Session (CPS) - Volume 6

CPS1907 Klaudia M. T. et al.
Figure 2 Number of internet and phone subscriptions in Hungary

1 600 000 14 000 000
1 400 000 12 000 000

1 200 000
10 000 000
1 000 000
8 000 000
800 000
6 000 000
600 000
4 000 000
400 000
200 000 2 000 000
0 0

Wireless Number of fixed lines
Number of mobile subscription Public swiched network via modem
xDSL Cable-tv
Other (included optic cable)

Source: HCSO
Some physical indicators follows a logistic curve. The above figure shows
that the telecommunication channels – except of wireless, other (included
optic cable) and cable-tv internet subscriptions– reached their saturation. The
saturation in case of wireless internet may be expected in the near future, but
the 5th generation wireless systems (5G) technology can give new impetus to
growth. The 5G is expected to become widely available in Hungary in 2020-
2022.
The 5G technology is appropriate for real time, mobile data traffic.
However, the possibilities of 5G line are not only in its speed, but in its
integrated network intelligence and its collaboration with other technologies.
The new technology can bring significant improvements, for example in
health, transport, education and industry. (Portfólió (2018b))
The high quality optical cable network is a precondition for 5G. Therefore
the significant growth in optical cable networks is currently characteristic in
Hungary, over the next ten years, Hungary will be connecting more than
100,000 kilometres with new optical cables. This improvement can cause an
additional increase in cable tv subscriptions, which is one of the typical form
of households’ internet subscription in Hungary. (Portfólió (2018a))
The internet subscription forms can substitute each other in a certain
extent, but it is complementary relation between wired and wireless network
as well. Moreover, the changing in user needs causes different penetration
rates and structure of telecommunication channels.

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