Page 144 - Invited Paper Session (IPS) - Volume 2
P. 144

IPS192 Hukum C. et al.
                  the  rows  of  X,  Z  and  I   that  correspond  to  area  .  When     is  negligible
                                         m
                                                                               
                  compared  to   ,  the  SNLEP  (9)  is  ̂    =  ̂  .   An  estimate  of  the
                                 
                                                                 
                  proportion or rate in area  is ̂   . In the spirit of Chandra et al. (2017) and
                  Opsomer et al. (2008), we develop a bootstrap procedure to test the spatial
                                                                        2
                  nonlinearity hypothesis, that is, the hypothesis   2:  = 0 versus the one-
                                                                  0   
                                          2
                  sided alternative   2:  > 0.
                                    1   

                  3.  Empirical Evaluations
                      This Section presents the results from simulation studies that compare the
                  empirical  performance  of  the  proposed  SNLEP  estimator  (9)  under  the
                  SNLGLMM (4) with the EP (3) under the GLMM (1). The performance criteria
                  used are the percentage Relative Bias (RB) and the percentage Relative Root
                  MSE (RRMSE). In our model based simulations we set the number of small
                  areas  = 100 and considered two values for the area specific sample sizes
                   =10 and 50 with  = 100 and 5000, respectively.
                                      
                   
                      We  used  an  area  level  version  GLMM  to  generate  data.  The  response
                  values were generated from  ~Binomial ( ,  ) and logit( ) = ƞ = ( ) +
                                                                                         
                                                               
                                               
                                                             
                                                                             
                                                                                  
                     with   =  exp(ƞ ){1 + exp (ƞ } −1 . Spatial  locations  were  simulated  as  the
                   
                            
                                    
                                                
                  values of two independently distributed uniform [0,1] covariates   and  ,
                                                                                   1
                                                                                           2
                  and the random area effects   were generated as  independent realizations
                                               
                               2
                  from a (0,  = 0.0625) distribution. We considered two different choices of
                               
                  the response function ( ,  ): Plane ( ,  ) = 0.5 + 0.2 ,
                                                                              2
                                              2
                                                                      1
                                                             2
                                                          1
                                           1

                                                                   2
                                                                            2
                                                     40 exp[8{( 1 −0.5) + ( 2 −0.5) }]
                  Mountain : ( ,  ) =  exp[8{( 1 −0.2) +( 2 −0.7) }]+exp[8{( 1 −0.7) +( 2 −0.2) }]
                                 1
                                    2
                                                      2
                                                                              2
                                                               2
                                                                                       2

                      A total of  = 1000 data sets were independently generated under each
                  of these models and the predicted small area counts for the two predictors
                  developed  in  the  previous  Sections  were  calculated.  Note  that  in  these
                  simulations the SNLGLMM uses the radial basis functions with =25 knots,
                  following Pratesi et al. (2009).
                      Table 1 shows the average values of percentage relative bias (RB) and the
                  average values of percentage relative root MSE (RRMSE) recorded by the SAE
                  methods investigated in our simulations. In particular, Table 1 sets out the
                  average relative biases and the average relative RMSEs of the two small area
                  predictors (EP and SNLEP) across the two different types of response function
                   ( ,  ) (i.e. plane and mountain) used in SNLGLMM for data generation,
                         2
                      1
                  allowing one to compare the two predictors across different data types. The
                  results in Table 1 are essentially as one would expect. Here we clearly see that
                  the performances of EP and SNLEP are on a par when data are generated using
                  the plane function. In contrast, the simplicity of the EP predictor comes at a
                  price when data are generated using the mountain response function. In this
                                                                     131 | I S I   W S C   2 0 1 9
   139   140   141   142   143   144   145   146   147   148   149