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IPS355 Georg Lindgren
                     Among Steve Rice’s many deep contributions to communication theory,
                  David Slepian mentions three as particularly influential. His 1950 paper on
                               16
                  “Communication in the presence of noise” was the first to evaluate explicit
                  bounds  for  the  error  probability  in  information  systems.  “Reflection  of
                  electromagnetic  waves  from  slightly  rough  surfaces”,  from  1951,  was
                  fundamental for the understanding of radar returns from the ocean. It was an
                  early example of the Fourier model (1) generalized to space-time. The third
                  example given by Slepian is the 1963 analysis of “Noise in FM receivers”, an
                  ingenious analysis of a mysterious phenomenon.

                  4. Rice’s formula and its ramifications
                     The  modern  version  of  Rice’s  formula  for  the  expected  number  of
                  upcrossings  of  a  given  level    per  time  unit  (=“rate  of  upcrossings”)  by a
                  differentiable stationary process reads

                   +
                                                                             +
                   = (#{ ∈ [0,1]; () = , }) =  (0) ()(′(0) |(0) = )  (2)
                   

                  We’ll discuss this formula for a stationary processes with spectral density ()
                  and  covariance  function  () = ∫ exp()(),  and  spectral  moments
                           2
                   2  = ∫  ().
                  a)  The origin of Rice’s formula for the rate of level crossings motivates the
                                                11
                     title of the present paper – “inspired by random noise, inspiring statistics
                     research”.  The  root  of  the  formula  is  in  a  study 12   from  1939  on  the
                     distribution of the height of local maxima of a random function, stating: “If
                     suitable conditions are satisfied the probability that the random curve  =
                     ()  has  a  maximum  in  the  rectangle  ( ,  + dx ; y , y + dy )[… ]  is
                                                                            0
                                                                         0
                                                                   0
                                                                               0
                                                                                     0
                                                                0
                                                          0
                     ( ,  )dx dy  where ( ,  ) = − ∫ −∞ ( , 0, ).”  Here ( , 0, ) is
                                   0
                                0
                            0
                                                                0
                                                                                     0
                                                  0
                                               0
                         0
                     the joint density of the curve and its first and second derivative, taken at
                     the point  =  .
                                    0
                         In the paper Rice motivates his interest: “Here the distribution of the
                     maxima of [...] random curves is studied. Although this problem is of some
                     physical interest I have been unable to find references to any earlier work.
                     Problems of this nature occur in the investigation of the current reflected
                     by small random irregularities along telephone transmission lines.”
                         Integrating out     in the maximum formula Rice obtains the rate of
                                          0
                     local maxima regardless of height, i.e. the rate of zero downcrossings by
                     the  derivative  of  the  process.  He  also  rewrites  the  formula  to  give  the
                     average  number  of  downcrossings.  With  modern  notation  his  formula
                     reads,

                                                           1
                                                                           −
                                                                              ′
                                                                       ′′
                                  ′                              (0) ( () | () = 0)ds.    (3)
                    (#{ ∈ [0,1];  () = 0, downcrossing}) = ∫  ′
                                                              ()
                                                          0
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