Page 206 - Special Topic Session (STS) - Volume 1
P. 206

STS425 Arifah B. et al.
                      Table 3: Parameters estimation of  and  with known H  and  RMSE between simulated
                      fOU process and data


                       Data             (LSE)       (QGV)         (DFA)          RMSE
                      Absolute Return   0.49845    0.01435       0.68367       0.001

                      Squared Return   0.87036     0.000664      0.6176       0.000092

                          The value of the drift parameter indicates the volatility process was
                      ergodic  where    0 .  The  diffusion  coefficient of  the volatilities  had  a
                      quite small value, implying that the fluctuation of CPO prices was not very
                      significance  along  the  period.  The  RMSE  of  between  the  X t 2   and  its

                      simulated  fOU  process  was  smaller  than  the  X t  .This  indicates  that
                      squared  returns  could  be  more  suitable  to  be  chosen  as  the  proxy  of
                      volatility for the estimation of the LMSV model.

                      3.5      Numerical Illustrations of LMSV model

                      Table 4: Descriptive statistics of estimated returns, and RMSE between estimated returns
                      and empirical returns from squared return for with p=50









































                                                                     195 | I S I   W S C   2 0 1 9
   201   202   203   204   205   206   207   208   209   210   211