Page 47 - Special Topic Session (STS) - Volume 2
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STS452 Nobuhiro O.
            Figure  3  Leontief  multiplier  (Backward  linkage)  and  Output  induced  by
            consumption

















            Figure 4 Induced employment and related multiplier and probability of labour
            in urban areas

















                Figure 4 shows the changes in the lower side of the model inverse matrix,
            specifically, urban employment (or movement to urban sectors) in the left, and
            urbanisation multiplier in the right. There is a constant increase in the number
            of people absorbed in the urban tertiary sector, whilst employment in primary
            sectors  remain  constant.  Nevertheless,  urban  employment  multiplier  is
            declining whereas we can see an upward movement in the probability of urban
            employment.

            4.  Discussion and Conclusion
                This paper has proposed the extended input-output model with regard to
            the urbanisation, which is considered as  the demographic change, i.e., the
            population  movement  from  the  countryside  to  the  cities,  by  applying  the
            Batey-Madden model. It has also analysed the model structure and the new
            multiplier called ‘urbanisation multiplier’ has been provided after its multiplier
            have been thoroughly studied.
                The  framework  of  our  extend  input-output  model  for  urbanisation
            provides a useful basis for studying the relationship between urbanisation and


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