Page 47 - Special Topic Session (STS) - Volume 2
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STS452 Nobuhiro O.
Figure 3 Leontief multiplier (Backward linkage) and Output induced by
consumption
Figure 4 Induced employment and related multiplier and probability of labour
in urban areas
Figure 4 shows the changes in the lower side of the model inverse matrix,
specifically, urban employment (or movement to urban sectors) in the left, and
urbanisation multiplier in the right. There is a constant increase in the number
of people absorbed in the urban tertiary sector, whilst employment in primary
sectors remain constant. Nevertheless, urban employment multiplier is
declining whereas we can see an upward movement in the probability of urban
employment.
4. Discussion and Conclusion
This paper has proposed the extended input-output model with regard to
the urbanisation, which is considered as the demographic change, i.e., the
population movement from the countryside to the cities, by applying the
Batey-Madden model. It has also analysed the model structure and the new
multiplier called ‘urbanisation multiplier’ has been provided after its multiplier
have been thoroughly studied.
The framework of our extend input-output model for urbanisation
provides a useful basis for studying the relationship between urbanisation and
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