Page 160 - Contributed Paper Session (CPS) - Volume 1
P. 160

CPS1239 Valerie M.B. et al.
                         rules,  etc.  The  contribution  of  services  in  that  period  will  be  small.
                         Nonetheless, the output would be impossible without the provision of
                         “indivisible” services with huge economies of scale. Their contribution
                         cannot be accounted for as a share of the final output if it is included
                         elsewhere as a stand-alone “service.”
                      •  Second, workers involved in services within the Hyundai plant are
                         unlikely  to  even  appear  as  separate  services  employees  in  the
                         accounting,  and  thus  cannot  contribute  to  an  increase  in  services
                         value added in the national accounts, particularly if they comprise a
                         small  or  ancillary  cost  of  production.  The  extent  of  servitization
                         mismeasurement  is  greater  when  the  service  is  provided  in-house
                         (Crozet and Milet 2017).
                      •  Third, services are typically priced through bundling, cognizant of
                         their indivisibility property. It is common for insurance, accounting
                         services, and TV and phone services to be priced as “monthly services,”
                         which means that two users of the same plan may use vastly different
                         amounts  of  the  “bundled”  service.  In  practice,  the  difference  in
                         productivity derived from the service by each user may be huge. For
                         example,  national  accounts  will  show  the  “phone  services”  of  the
                         customer service desk as being equal to the “phone services” of the
                         staff  lounge  room  and  attach  to  it  the  bundle  price,  erroneously
                         attributing the same value added to these two users. When deflated,
                         services  with  different  usage  rates  are  assumed  to  be  equally
                         productive. This is compounded by the lack of homogeneity of the
                         service unit once used up. Goods, on the other hand, are tangible and
                         clearly divisible, so their unit value can be more easily measured.
                      •  Finally,  there  are  many  services  that  are  becoming  almost  free
                         because  they  rely  on  a  repetitive  code  that  has  already  been
                         designed  from  before,  as  we  rely  on  an  accumulation  of
                         knowledge by others: for example, an algorithm designed to optimize
                         the shipping routes for Hyundai cars ready for delivery. This has a fixed
                         cost  (charged  by  the  programmers),  but  no  marginal  cost.  Again,
                         national  accounts  may  attribute  the  efficiency  of  the  distribution
                         process to the manufacturing process itself, when in fact it was the
                         infinite economies of scale of the network specialist’s algorithm that
                         enabled this shipping efficiency
                      Other issues discussed in the literature exacerbate these problems.
                  However, various studies (for example, IMF 2018) argue that the size of the
                  estimated effects is insufficient to explain the fall in labor productivity over the
                  last two decades. Going forward, these issues will lead to large measurement
                  biases. There are perhaps five main issues that arise: (i) deflators of new goods
                  or hi-tech goods do not reflect goods’ “unit value” when calculating real GDPs,

                                                                     149 | I S I   W S C   2 0 1 9
   155   156   157   158   159   160   161   162   163   164   165