Page 224 - Contributed Paper Session (CPS) - Volume 1
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CPS1283 Kelvin H.C.Y et al.
                      The  Generalized  Linear  Model  output  is  relatively  easy  to  explain  to
                  stakeholders.  The  riskiness  of  a  specific  rating  factor’s  characteristics  is
                  expressed through the fitted and computed parameters.
                      Based on the hypothetical examples above
                         •      The lower relativity factor of 0.975 for  females compared to
                                males implies that, all else being equal, females are 2.5% less
                                risky compared to males. Hence a 2.5% discount is justified for
                                females relative to males.
                         •      The higher relativity factor of 1.250 for young drivers below 25
                                years  old  compared  to  drivers  between  36  to  40  years  old
                                implies that, all else being equal, young drivers below 25 years
                                old are 25% more risky compared to drivers between 36 to 40
                                years old. Hence a 25% loading is justified for young drivers
                                below 25 years old relative to drivers between 26 to 40 years
                                old.
                  Fire
                      A sample hypothetical output of the Generalized Linear Model is shown
                  below:
                      Base Premium:            $ 2,500

                      Rating Factor 1 – Construction Class
                         Construction Class 1A        1.000
                         Construction Class 1B        1.050
                         Construction Class 2         1.250
                         Construction Class 3         2.500

                      Rating Factor 2 – Type of properties
                         Residential                  0.450
                         Retail trading               2.000
                         Hotel/Offices                1.000
                         Food processing industries   0.950
                         Textiles                     3.400
                         Timber                       5.250

                      Using  the  above  sample  hypothetical  output,  the  computation  of  Fire
                  insurance premium for three risk profile examples are shown below:

                      Building 1’s risk profile: Construction Class 1A, Residential
                      Fire insurance premium = $2,500 x 1.000 x 0.450 = $1,125.00

                      Building 2’s risk profile: Construction Class 3, Timber
                      Fire insurance premium = $2,500 x 2.500 x 5.250 = $32,812.50

                      Building 3’s risk profile: Construction Class 1B, Hotel
                      Fire insurance premium = $2,500 x 1.050 x 1.000 = $2,627.10


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