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CPS1283 Kelvin H.C.Y et al.
                The  Generalized  Linear  Model  output  is  relatively  easy  to  explain  to
            stakeholders.  The  riskiness  of  a  specific  rating  factor’s  characteristics  is
            expressed through the fitted and computed parameters.
                Based on the hypothetical examples above
                    •      The higher relativity factor  of 1.250 for Construction Class 2
                           compared to Construction Class 1A implies that, all else being
                           equal, Construction Class 2 are 25% more risky compared to
                           Construction  Class  1A.  Hence  a  25%  loading  is  justified  for
                           Construction Class 2 relative to Construction Class 1A.
                    •      The lower relativity factor of 0.450 for Residential properties
                           compared  to  Hotel/Offices  properties  implies  that,  all  else
                           being equal, Residential properties are 55% less risky compared
                           to Hotel/Offices properties. Hence a 55% discount is justified
                           for Residential properties relative to Hotel/Offices properties.

            4.  Discussion and Conclusion
            Generalised Linear Models
                One-way  analyses  are  simple  to  understand  and  help  summarize  key
            explanatory metrics such as average premiums, loss ratios, claim frequencies,
            and  average  claims  sizes.  However,  one-way  analyses  can  be  distorted  by
            correlations between rating factors. For example, young drivers may tend to
            drive  more  affordable  car  make/models.  Hence,  a  one-way  analysis  of  car
            make/models may suggest that the affordable car make/models have higher
            claims  experience.  However,  the  underlying  reason  for  the  higher  claims
            experience may not be car make/model specific. Rather, the underlying reason
            for the higher claims experience for the affordable car make/models may be
            the driver age/experience.
                Using Generalised Linear Models would help adjust for correlations and
            allow for investigation into interaction effects.

            Actuaries’ role during the Phased Liberalisation of the Malaysian Motor
            and Fire Tariffs
                As  the  Malaysian  general  insurance  industry  transitions  into  a  phased
            liberalised environment, the board and senior management are expected to
            leverage on the advice of a professionally qualified actuary in fulfilling their
            governance requirements and the introduction of new products.
                The  actuaries  have  widely  adopted  Generalised  Linear  Models  as  their
            individual risk pricing model for Motor and Fire products. The outputs of the
            Generalised Linear Model are easy to explain and implement into information
            technology systems.




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