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CPS1853 M. Irsyad Ilham

                                Panel data regression modelling of economic
                                impact on environmental quality: The case of
                                                  Indonesia
                                                M. Irsyad Ilham
                                    Badan Pusat Statistik Republik Indonesia
                  Abstract
                  This study examines the impact of economic development, population density,
                  and number of vehicles on environmental degradation from 31 provinces in
                  Indonesia for the period 2011-2014. Panel data analysis, which widely used to
                  examine issues that could not be studied in either cross-section or time-series
                  settings alone, is used herein. Our empirical results support the hypothesis on
                  the direction of causality those three factors of environmental damage in the
                  country. The smallest cross-section random effect is holds for Banten and Riau
                  provinces which indicates the lowest environmental quality when all factors
                  are fixed. Our empirical findings provide important analysis  for the country
                  being studied.

                  Keywords
                  Environmental Quality Index; Economic Development; Population Density;
                  Number of Vehicles; Panel Data Analysis

                  1.  Introduction
                      Recent day, one of the most important issue for developing countries is
                  environmental degradation (Kojima, 2007; Todaro and Smith, 2013; Warren
                  and McCarthy, 2012). The issue of environmental degradation is still much
                  needed  important  research  agenda  because  of  its  global  significance
                  (Rahman, 2017). The United Nations argues that environmental problems had
                  to be overcome by implementing sustainable development program for all
                  countries  (United Nations General Assembly, 2015).The economic impact on
                  environment tend to be less pay attention may result in negative externalities
                  of environmental damages (Pearson, 2000). Those impacts finally could effect
                  by  reducing  economic  output  by  sectors  (Hussen,  2004).  According  to
                  Indonesia’s  Ministry  of  Environment  and  Forest,  during  2011-2014,  the
                  average environmental quality index poses in low-level and has decreased by
                  3,56% in four years. The data also shows the trend of deterioration in water
                  and forest coverage albeit air quality tends to be stagnant in good-level. This
                  capture concludes that environmental still become urge due to the impact
                  arises such as endanger ecosystem balance and even human health risk.
                      There  are  several  factors  that  affect  environmental  degradation  in  a
                  county.  Economic  development  is  also  known  as  a  factor  that  declines
                  environmental quality. Besides the meaning of that term which an activity to
                  improve  the  performance  of  every  sector  of  the  economy,  however,  the

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