Page 441 - Contributed Paper Session (CPS) - Volume 2
P. 441

CPS1917 Trijya S.
            estimation of (1) is essential. Let  =  and  =  be the estimates which
                                             ̂
                                                         ̂
                                                          2
                                              1
                                                   1
                                                               2
            satisfy (2). Then after extensive algebra, it can be shown that,
                                           +  +    =  0                    (8)
                                          3
                                                 1
                                          1
            where  =  ( 4 −4 1  3 )  and  =  (2 2  3 − 1  4 )
                            2
                                                 2
                       12(2  −  2 )     12(2  −  2 )
                                                 1
                            1
            It is well known that the cubic equation (8) will have three real roots if   <  0
            and 4  + 27 < 0. Therefore, if these conditions are satisfied and we get a
                   3
                           2
            real  root  of  (8),  the  second  root  can  be  obtained  using  the  following
            expression from Rider (1961),
                                                2  −  
                                                        ̂
                                          ̂
                                           =  2      1 1
                                           2
                                                       ̂
                                                  − 
                                                  1
                                                       1
            Using  the  estimates    and    thus  obtained,  the  estimate  of  mixing
                                   ̂
                                           ̂
                                            2
                                    1
            proportion can  be  obtained  as  well.  It  is  important  to  note  that  the  exact
            distributional properties of the estimators are difficult to obtain in general.
            However, Rider (1961) showed that the estimators are consistent and obtained
            the expressions for the asymptotic variances of the estimators assuming  to
            be known. For estimating the asymptotic standard errors, we use our estimates
            of moments in Rider’s formulas.
                A  major  advantage  of  the  proposed  method  lies  in  its  application  for
            estimating  parameters  of  the  widely  used  two-compartment  model  in
                                                                                    (9)
            pharmacokinetics. Pharmacokinetic analysis reveals the rates (amount per unit
            time) of drug movement into, within and exiting from the body. A commonly
            used model in such analyses is the two compartment model given by  () =
              −   +   − ,   ≥ 0, where  () ≥  0 is concentration of drug, that is, the
                                                                                 1
            amount of drug per milliliter in the blood stream at time . Here,   =    and
                                                                                  1,
                  1
              =    .  The  first  term  of  the  model,   −  ,  corresponds  to  the  drug
                   2,
            absorption stage and dominates, so   >  . The second term corresponds to
            the drug elimination phase. Integrating  () over , we obtain the area under
                            ∞
                                              
                                         
            the curve,  = ∫  ()   =   +  . Dividing  () by , we have
                            0               

                                           1   −               1    −           (9)
                          (|  ) =  ∙      1   + (1  −  ) ∙     ∙    2  ,
                               1, 2,
                                           1                   2

                                 −1
                           
            where   = (  +  )    .  If  both  A  and  B  are  positive,  then  () could  be
                           
            treated as a mixture of two exponential densities of random observation time
            . If A is negative,  () shall still be a probability density function as  () ≥  0
                           ∞
            for  all  and ∫  ()   =  1.  Therefore,  the  methods  described  could  be
                          0
            applied without any technical problem.


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