Page 73 - Contributed Paper Session (CPS) - Volume 2

CPS1431 Salima M.
meaningless to study the prevalence of NEET for this sub-population. For that
reason, the prevalence analysis will cover all young men and women (to
guarantee comparability). First, it is important to keep in mind through the
analysis that: 1. the NEET rate for young women equals 55.2%, 2. the majority
of EI NEET women are housewives (97.1%), 3. the NEET rate for young men is
2
15%, 4. about three quarters of unemployed NEET men suffer from Long-term
unemployment (73.7%) and 5. more than two-thirds of young men have never
had a job (67.5%).

The descriptive and econometric analyses reveal the following:

Age: the older they get, the more they risk to fall in NEET population
Almost all EI NEET women and unemployed NEET men are adult young (18
to 29 y/o), they represent respectively 88.5% and 93%. For both young women
and young men, the older they get the higher their NEET rate gets, jumping
respectively from 26.4% and 6.2% within those aged from 15 to 17 y/o, to
55.4% and 16.6% within those aged from 18 to 24 y/o, to 74.6% and 19.2%
within those aged from 25 to 29 y/o. Young women (and men) aged from 18
to 24 and from 25 to 29 have respectively 3.8 (and 3.3) and 5.7 (and 4.8) times
more chance to be NEET than children (15 to 17 y/o). This is probably due to
the government’s efforts trying to keep children in school more than anywhere
else, but, as for bringing young little girls to school, the matter is still pending.

Urban/rural residence: a determining factor for young men
While half of EI NEET women live in the rural area (48.6%), more than three
quarters of unemployed NEET men live in urban areas (77.9%), this sends us
back to the structural fact that unemployment is an urban phenomenon. The
structural effect is still observed when it comes to NEET rate among young
men, as the NEET rate is higher in urban area compared to rural one (18.2%
against 10.1%). At the contrary, compared to the higher rate observed within
young women living in rural area (64.8%), the NEET rate is lower than the
average (55.2%) in urban area (49.3%). Area of residence is a determining
factor of becoming NEET for young men: those living in cities risk 2 times more
being NEET-affected than those who live in rural area. However, this factor
doesn’t affect young women becoming NEET as the Odds ratio is closed to the
unit.

2 Long-term unemployment: the unemployment for more than 12 months.
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