Page 204 - Contributed Paper Session (CPS) - Volume 4
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CPS2174 Septian R. et al.
                  bigger. In other hand, the standard deviation for bigger size of  tends to
                  increase.  It  can  be  said  that  smaller  size  of  in  this  case  can  make  the
                  prediction very accurate.
                      Table 1 Mean and standar deviation of evaluation criteria in each 

                              Evaluation
                          Criteria            Value      m=50     m=100     m=150
                              Accuracy        mean       0.998      0.998      0.994
                                                sd       0.007      0.004      0.012
                              Sensitifity     mean       0.999      0.998      0.992
                                                sd       0.006      0.008      0.020
                              Specificity     mean       0.997      0.998      0.996
                                                sd       0.010      0.005      0.009

                      In addition, from 100 replications also can be investigated that there are
                  many  iteration  in  the  replications can  predict  the  testing  data  very  well  in
                  perfect condition that discribed in Figure 2.


                           100
                                       87
                                                       82
                            80                                         69
                          Replication  60


                            40

                            20

                             0
                                     m = 50          m = 100         m = 150
                                  Number of predictor variables in model candidate ()

                      Figure 2 Bar chart of number of replication which has very good prediction
                  based on 
                      Therefore,  when  in  the  model  candidate  use   = 50 ,  87%  of  100
                  replications  has  very  good  performace  of  prediction.  Besides  when  in  the
                  model candidate use  = 100, and  = 150. Because of that, in this case it
                  can be showed that by using  = 50 can give the prediction performance very
                  good in accuracy, sensitifity, and specificity.







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