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CPS2055 Asanao S. et al.

               The   is nuisance. The sample size was set to 500. On average, approximately
                     4
               70% of the subjects experienced the event. Table 2 lists the average values and
               standard deviations of the Harrell’s C, integrated Brier scores, and tree sizes.

               4.  Discussion and Conclusion
                   In  this  study,  we  consider  the  concordance  probability-based  splitting
               criterions for constructing a survival tree. We proposed the new method to
               construct the tree model that maximizes prediction accuracy based on the
               CART. We study the performance of the splitting ability of the criterion based
               on concordance probabilities, and compare the survival trees constructed by
               proposed method and conventional methods through simulations. From the
               simulation results, our proposed approach has the advantage to construct the
               model with high prediction performance.
                     Table 2: The average and standard deviation of the Harrell’s C, integrated
                                        Brier scores, and tree sizes.
                                         Harrell’s C    Integrated Brier   Tree size
                         Criterion          (std.)        Score (std.)       (std.)

                             ̂      0.612 (0.010)     0.542 (0.018)     5.8   (4.6)
                             ̂        0.610 (0.013)     0.557 (0.031)    11.9  (10.1)
                             
                             ̂      0.602 (0.006)     0.542 (0.009)     4.2   (2.1)
                             ̂      0.601 (0.013)     0.584 (0.020)    22.9   (2.3)
                       Log  rank test   0.604 (0.013)    0.539 (0.009)     2.2   (0.5)

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