Page 78 - Contributed Paper Session (CPS) - Volume 7
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CPS2033 Ronnie P.
                      In  this  study  we  focus  on  binary  confounding  variables.  Usually,
                  measurement error of binary variables is called misclassification, which can be
                  divided into different types of misclassification. It is common to distinguish
                  between non-differential misclassification, i.e. misclassification that is random,
                  and differential misclassification, that is misclassification that varies between
                  groups.
                      There  are  some  results  in  the  literature  covering  the  case  of  non-
                  differential  misclassification  of a  confounder, e.g.  Greenland (1980)  argued
                  that non-differential classification of a binary confounder leads to attenuation
                  bias. However, even though this was further studied by e.g. Ahlbohm (1992),
                  Fox (2005), Greenland (1996), Savitz (1989), Fung (1984) no formal proofs were
                  given. Moreover, none of these studies related the bias to causal quantities,
                  instead the bias was related to parameters in statistical models.
                      Formal  proofs  for  non-differential  classification  of  a  binary  confounder
                  were eventually provided by Ogburn and Vanderweele (2012). They showed
                  that under a  monotonicity assumption, i.e. the direction of causal effect is
                  same across levels of the confounder, there is in fact an attenuation bias. Their
                  result is an important contribution and they also relate the bias to parameters
                  within the causal inference framework.
                      However, Ogburn and Vanderweele (2012) do not study misclassification
                  in  the  differential  case.  Although  Di  Martino  et  al.  (2014)  discover  that
                  differential misclassified confounder can lead to unpredictable consequences
                  and misleading results for logistic regression models when studying treatment
                  quality  of  caesarean  sections  in  different  hospitals,  they  only  study
                  misclassification using empirical data and no theory.
                      The focus of this study is a certain type of misclassification denoted one-
                  sided misclassification that is differential. It occurs when the classification is
                  always correct for individuals coded as belonging to a certain category, but
                  not necessarily for those not belonging to the category.
                      One-sided  misclassification  may  occur  due  to  under-reporting  and  it
                  would be the case when all individuals being registered having a characteristic
                  really have it, however, among those individuals not registered as having the
                  characteristic some still have it. A typical confounder could be "dementia",
                  where  it  would  be  rather  safe  to  assume  that  all  individuals  registered  as
                  having dementia really has impaired cognitive ability, but there are individuals
                  in the register having dementia but are misclassified as having "no dementia".
                  Another example would be diabetes.
                      Further, and more generally, this study fits into the broader category of
                  sensitivity analyses, that is, to assess the robustness of empirical evidence by
                  examining  how  one’s  estimate  varies  when  a  key  assumption  is  relaxed
                  (Rosenbaum, 2002).


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