Page 214 - Contributed Paper Session (CPS) - Volume 8
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CPS2254 Dan C.
                  feature of Fathom, we were able to slow things down in generating a batch of
                  thirty trials, each time recording how many empty squares were in a trial.

                       It was important to run the initial “batch of 30 trials” on Fathom as slowly
                  as  possible,  so  that  students  could  see  that  everything  Fathom  was  doing
                  mirrored the same ideas they had explored with their own paper recording
                  grids. For example, Figure 3 shows results of such a batch of thirty trials, with
                  frequencies for how many empty squares were in each trial. The last (30th) trial
                  had exactly four empty squares such as was seen in Figures 1 and 2. And so a
                  tally mark (a dot in this case) was added to that column. Students could see
                  that of the thirty trials, eight trials had happened to have exactly four empty
                  squares. And if needed, they could go back through the other displays and
                  match a tally mark with the grid result it came from to verify that tally mark.
                                                  Many Trials of 16 Raindrops

                          Many Trials of 16 Raindrops









                              Figure 3: Counting the empty squares in each of thirty trials

                      By  generating  more  data,  whether  in  increasing  the  number  of  trials
                  (beyond 30, for instance), or in simply replicating many batches of the same
                  number of trials, students were able to pursue deeper questions about what
                  was  expected.  They  also  used  their  insights  into  what  was  likely  to  make
                  inferences about purported results. At the end of the intervention, a series of
                  “results”  of  physical  experimentation  was  given  to  students,  which  were
                  claimed to come from a single trial, or a batch of trials, depending on what
                  was being asked. Students were then asked to imagine that “some other class
                  from a school across town” had submitted these “results”, but we weren’t sure
                  if the other class just made up the results or if they actually came from the
                  other  class  doing  the  physical  trials.  Particular  attention  was  given  to  way
                  students based their inferences of “real or fake?” on the variability inherent in
                  the Fathom data they had just been exploring.

                  3.  Result
                      Among the questions in seeing repeated “batches of thirty trials” (which
                  we sped up once the idea of what was going on was understood and accepted)
                  was about what was reasonable to expect in terms of how many empty squares
                  might be in any given trial. In Figure 3, representing a single batch of thirty

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