Page 212 - Contributed Paper Session (CPS) - Volume 6
P. 212

CPS1892 Yang Xinhong

                                      The survey and research of “non-
                                   observed finance" -- Take Shenzhen as
                                                 an example
                                                 Yang Xinhong
                      Statistics Bureau of Guangdong Province, Guangzhou, The People's Republic of China


                  Abstract
                  "Non-observed Finance" includes folk informal finance, underground finance
                  and illegal finance. Taking self-employed households in Shenzhen as samples,
                  this study is the first time in China to explore the use of direct-survey method
                  to measure the "Non-observed Finance" scale and its added value. The result
                  shows that the total amount of "Non-observed Finance" of self-employed
                  households  in  Shenzhen  municipality  is  tens  of  billions  of  yuan,  which  is
                  basically consistent with the data collated by industry associations and the
                  data  of  formal  loan  provided  by  banking  regulatory  department.  FISIM
                  method is used to calculate the added value of self-employed households in
                  2015.

                  Keywords
                  informal finance; underground finance; illegal finance; direct-survey-method;
                  FISIM method

                  1. Introduction
                      In recent years, "Non-observed Finance" ("NOF") , a terminology referring
                  to  the  "Non-observed  Economy"  ("NOE"),  has  been  used  by  domestic
                  theoretical circles (Tian Guangning, 2008; Li Jianjun, 2008, 2010; Ren Biyun,
                  2013). It refers to the financial organizations which exist outside the System
                  of National Accounts, financial statistics monitoring system and economical
                  and financial supervision system, their activities, as well as the value forms of
                  monetary and financial assets resulting from their activities. In general, "NOF"
                  is referred to as folk informal finance, underground finance and illegal finance.
                  The existence of "NOF" affects the government's judgment about the financial
                  and economic situation, and impacts the effect of macro monetary policy. To
                  make a judgment about the impact and effect mentioned above, we must
                  master the scale of "NOF". That how to monitor "NOF" has also became the
                  focus of theoretical research and practical work.
                      At  present,  only  a  limited  number  of  domestic  scholars,  such  as  Tian
                  Guangning  (2008)  Jianjun  (2006,  2008,  2010)   [4-5,  7]   Ren  Biyun  (2013)  have
                  studied "NOF", focusing on the definition of "NOF", the estimation of its scale
                  and its impact on the money supply, etc. However, the scholars apply the


                                                                     201 | I S I   W S C   2 0 1 9
   207   208   209   210   211   212   213   214   215   216   217