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STS571 Ossi Nurmi et al.



                                       The use of mobile phone data in
                                              Tourism Statistics
                                             Ossi Nurmi; Pasi Piela
                                                 Statistics Finland

                  Abstract
                  Survey response rates are declining at an alarming rate globally. Statisticians
                  have  traditionally  used  imputing  and  recalibration  of  weights  to  deal  with
                  nonresponse.  In  case  survey  response  rates  are  well  below  50  %,  these
                  methods  may  often  result  in  little  more  than  guesswork.  Alternative  data
                  sources need to be used to improve the accuracy of statistical estimates. In
                  the context of outbound tourism, mobile positioning data can be considered
                  as such an alternative data source as it registers ‘traces’ of tourism trips. These
                  traces are CDRs (call detail records) and DDRs (data detail records) and they
                  are generated by the activities of mobile devices. Since 2016 Statistics Finland
                  has worked closely with Finnish national mobile network operators (MNOs) to
                  translate the CDRs and DDRs into tourism specific monthly aggregates such
                  as number and duration of trips by destination country.  Statistics Finland has
                  learned that it helps to be very specific when approaching MNOs with data
                  needs.  This paper provides a summary of the methodological process that the
                  Finnish MNOs have followed to compile tourism statistics. A similar process
                  may be used by National Statistics Institutes or other organizations who are
                  approaching their national MNOs with the intent of obtaining data. The paper
                  then  presents  the  2017  outbound  tourism  data  from  Finnish  MNOs  and
                  highlights the shortcomings of the Finnish national tourism survey in light of
                  mobile positioning data. Based on this analysis, the paper proposes a method
                  to enrich the tourism survey using mobile positioning data. One of the main
                  needs for outbound tourism data comes from the Balance of Payments (BoP)
                  statistics. The debit side of BoP requires quarterly data by destination country
                  and purpose of trip. More accurate data is needed to reliably estimate the
                  expenditure of resident tourists abroad. The paper proposes a method where
                  mobile positioning data is first used to estimate the number and duration of
                  outbound trips by country and month. The role of tourism survey data is then
                  to provide ratios such as purpose of trip, means of transport and average
                  expenditure.  In  this  method  the  tourism  survey  is  no  longer  needed  for
                  estimating the absolute number of trips.

                  Keywords
                  Mobile Positioning; Tourism; Geospatial data




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