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CPS2108 Azza Hassan





                             Determinants of Urban Development in Egypt
                                               Azza Hassan
                           Central Agency for Public Mobilization and Statistics, Cairo, Egypt

               Abstract
               This study uses data of the Arab Republic of Egypt covering the eleven years
               2006–2016  to  examine  factors  that  drive  urban  development  in  Egypt.
               Previous  work  has  examined  standard  international  measures  of  urban
               development  such  as  GDP,  population  density,  and  average  income.  In
               particular,  the  study  asks  whether  traditionally  used  economic  factors
               (education,  environment,  cultural  industry,  infrastructure,  FDI,  and
               government spending) are most closely associated with urban development
               in Egypt during this time period. Linear regressions are estimated with each of
               the  measures  as  the  dependent  variable.  The  results  are  presented  and
               discussed with implications for studying Egyptian urban development.

               Keywords
               Egypt; Urban Development; Urbanization

               1.  Introduction
                   Urbanization is defined as the transformation of the population from rural
               to urban areas and a gradual increase in the proportion of people living in
               urban areas, a major cause of urban problems. Urbanization is associated with
               a  range  of  disciplines  such  as  geography,  sociology,  economics,  urban
               planning, Modernization, and industrialization. Urbanization leaves enormous
               social, economic and environmental changes and has the potential to provide
               sustainability opportunities with the ability to use resources more efficiently
               and provide sustainable land (McGranahan, Satterthwaite 2014).
                   In this unprecedented era of growing urbanization, in the context of the
               2030  Sustainable  Development  Plan,  the  Paris  Agreement  and  other
               agreements  and  global  frameworks  for  development,  we  have  reached  a
               critical point in understanding that cities can be the source of solutions, rather
               than the challenges facing our world today. If urban planning is well planned
               and well managed, it can be a powerful tool for sustainable development for
               both developing and developed countries (Clos, 2017).
                   For the first time in the history of mankind, we are facing a change in the
               numerical ratio of the population. The proportion of the urban population of
               the world over the rural population as a result of recent statistics, considering
               that 60% of the world population will live in urban areas until 2030, Of the


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