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IPS173 Athanasios Petralias et al.
                              Tracking multinationals’ activities in the shipping
                                industry: A new statistical framework for the
                              estimation of sea transport services in the Greek
                                             balance of payments
                              Athanasios Petralias, PhD & Marios Papaspyrou, PhD
                                       Department of Statistics, Bank of Greece

                  Abstract
                  The Greek Shipping Estimation Model aims to provide a coherent statistical
                  framework to estimate Balance of Payments items related to shipping activity,
                  based on administrative sources and commercial databases.
                  Given the multinational nature of the shipping sector and the complex group
                  structures,  the  estimation  of  the  shipping  activity  is  one  of  the  most
                  challenging tasks in terms of official statistics. This is of particular importance
                  to Greece, since its merchant fleet has a strategic role in the transportation of
                  the trade and energy of many regions in the world. The statistical framework
                  presented  in  the  current  study,  can  well  be  applied  by other countries  for
                  Balance of Payments purposes, as well as by researchers and analysts seeking
                  to estimate revenues and expenses related to shipping activity.
                  In the Greek Shipping Estimation model a granular level approach is used, with
                  vessel by vessel characterization. A three-stage approach is taken. Firstly, the
                  cluster is defined, the main counterparts and the types of Balance of Payments
                  (BOP)  transactions  that  take  place  and  can  be  estimated.  Secondly,  the
                  population  is  defined,  including  legal  owner  companies,  operator/ship-
                  manager companies and the vessels to be included in the registry. Finally, all
                  BOP transactions for a particular vessel are estimated on a monthly basis.
                  The maritime cluster structure is discussed, along with guidelines on how to
                  define the resident population on basis of the economic ownership principle.
                  A detailed statistical framework to estimate all shipping related transactions is
                  presented, including vessels’ revenues, bunkers costs, port expenses, manning
                  costs, administrative costs and other BOP items. For this purpose a series of
                  international  databases  is  used  including  among  others  Lloyd’s  List
                  intelligence, IHS Maritime and Trade, Clarksons Shipping Intelligence Network
                  and Drewry.

                  Keywords
                  Multinational enterprises; shipping; sea transport services; balance of
                  payments





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