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STS486 R. Ayesha A. et al.

                             Recent advances in ecological networks:
                           Regularized grouped Dirichlet-multinomial
                                            regression
                                                   1
                                                            2
                                       R. Ayesha Ali , C. Crea
                 1 Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Guelph, Guelph, Canada.
                                 2 Geosyntec Consultants, Guelph, Canada.

            Abstract
            Having a solid understanding of why species interact in ecological settings can
            help  policymakers  in  the  development  of  conservation  or  restoration
            management  plans.  Quantitative  ecologists  are  now  able  to  collect  more
            detailed species traits, either from the field or through published literature,
            that  can  supplement  observed  counts  of  species  interactions  in  ecological
            networks. While there is great interest in using such data to further enhance
            our understanding of the mechanisms driving the observed interactions, there
            is  a  lack  of  statistical  models  that  can  accommodate  the  complexities
            presented by such data. Here we discuss some of these modelling challenges
            and  present  new  advances  in  the  context  of  plant-pollinator  networks.  In
            particular,  we  present  regularization  for grouped  Dirichlet-multinomial
            regression.

            Keywords
            Grouped  Dirichlet  multinomial  regression;  interaction  networks;  ecological
            modelling; adaptive lasso

            1.  Introduction
                Mutualistic networks arise out of several  ecological processes including
            pollination,  seed  dispersal,  and  host-parasite  relationships,  to  name  a  few.
            Studies on these networks have revealed common structural patterns, such as
            the nested organization of pairwise interactions and the skewed distribution
            of  links  per  species  (Montoya  et  al.  2006;  Bascompte  and  Jordano  2007;
            Vázquez et al. 2009a).  It is believed that these structural patterns are driven
            by both evolutionary and ecological processes. Neutrality states that species’
            interactions are totally random whereas linkage rule theory suggests that the
            functional traits between species must match for species to interact with each
            other.
                For example, an insect’s tongue length must be long enough to reach a
            plant’s reproductive parts for pollination to take place.  The characteristics
            pollinators  seek  in  plant  species  may  be  better  anticipated  if  species
            interactions are modelled by the functional traits that drive them. Grouped
            Dirichlet-multinomial (DM) regression provides a framework to quantify the
            contributions of species traits and/or linkage rules to pollination.
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