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STS486 Alessandro F. et al.



                                   Change detection and harmonisation of
                                   atmospheric large spatiotemporal series
                      Alessandro Fassò , Hsin-Cheng Huangy , Igor Valli , Fabio Madonnaz
                                                            2
                                                                                        3
                                                                      1
                                      1
                  1 Department of Management, Infomation and Production Engineering, University of Bergamo,
                                                  Bergamo, Italy
                               2 Institute of Statistical Science, Academia Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan
                                      3 CNR-IMAA, C.da S. Loja, Tito Scalo, PZ, Italy.

                  Abstract
                  The  purpose  of  this  paper  is  to  discuss  the  change  detection  and
                  harmonisation process for temperature profiles from the Integrated Global
                  Radiosonde Archive (IGRA) which consists of global radiosonde observations
                  dating back to 1905. Harmonisation methods developed for radiosonde have
                  a long history, see for example Haimberger et al. (2012), Thorne et al. (2011)
                  and Sherwood et al. (2008). In this paper, we propose a locally stationary 4D
                  geostatistical model to compute fitted values. The residuals are then used as
                  input to a fused LASSO approach capable of identifying changes.

                  1.  Introduction
                     The  purpose  of  this  paper  is  to  discuss  the  change  detection  and
                  harmonisation process for temperature profiles from the Integrated Global
                  Radiosonde Archive (IGRA).
                     IGRA consists of radiosonde and pilot balloon observations at over 2,700
                  globally distributed stations. The earliest data date back to 1905, and recent
                  data become available in near real time. Observations are available at standard
                  and variable pressure levels, fixed- and variable-height wind levels, and the
                  surface and tropopause. Variables include pressure, temperature, geopotential
                  height, relative humidity, dewpoint depression, wind direction and speed, and
                  elapsed time since launch.
                     Harmonisation methods developed for radiosonde have a long history, see
                  for example Haimberger et al. (2012), Thorne et al. (2011) and Sherwood et al.
                  (2008).
                     In this paper, the focus is on undocumented changes in single stations. In
                  particular permanent step changes, temporary step changes and impulses or
                  outliers are considered.
                     The idea is to use a simple locally stationary 4D geostatistical model to
                  compute fitted values. The residuals are then used as input to a fused LASSO
                  model capable of identifying all the above changes.





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