Page 225 - Special Topic Session (STS) - Volume 2
P. 225

STS486 R. Ayesha A. et al.
            dioecious plants are generally preferred over monoecious plants (Zito et al.,
            2016).

               Table 2: Results of analysis of Terceira Island network. Unpenalized maximum likelihood
              estimates and the refit estimators of final model chosen by adaptive lasso with ̃=3, using
                                       BIC for parameter tuning.
             Predictor                              MLE              BIC (refit)
             Monoecious                             -0.585           -0.605
             Corolla Colour White                    0.504            0.387
             Corolla Colour Yellow                   0.150            0
             Flower Size Medium                      0.127            0
             Flower Size Large                       0.236            0
             Corolla Shape Regular                   0.389            0.530
             Actinomorphic                           0.433            0.282
             Inflorescence                           0.581            0.518
             Plant Type Woody                        0.049            0
             Perennial                               0.038            0
             Introduced Plant Species               -0.333           -0.416
             Dispersion                             -2.996           -2.574

             BIC                                    3258.45          3252.36

                However, introduced plant species were associated with a lower log-odds
            of being visited over native or endemic plant species.  From an ecological
            adaptation  perspective,  insects  may  be  driven  to  native/endemic  plants
            because they are familiar or well known.  In fact, although there were more
            than two times the number of introduced (exotic) species than native/endemic
            species, the proportions of total number of visits to these latter two groups of
            plants were 54% and 46%, respectively.  This result provides some evidence in
            favour of the notion of ecological adaption.

            5.  Discussion and Conclusion
                Our regularization of the grouped DM regression model was motivated
            from  an  ecological  context.  Ecologists  and  evolutionary  biologists  seek  to
            understand how species traits and linkage rules influence the interactions in
            mutualistic networks. Recent ecological studies involve collecting counts of
            interactions along with detailed trait data, and it is for this reason that model
            selection is necessary for analyzing ecological networks. This new regularized
            grouped DM regression can simultaneously select the correct covariates in the
            model and estimate regression parameters with low bias.
                The simulation study demonstrated that the adaptive lasso performs better
            for  larger  networks,  which  often  contain  more  data.  The  final  model  is
            conservative in that it tends to select the correct covariates, but also tends to
            include unnecessary covariates. However, increasing the tuning parameter ̃
                                                               214 | I S I   W S C   2 0 1 9
   220   221   222   223   224   225   226   227   228   229   230