Page 276 - Contributed Paper Session (CPS) - Volume 2
P. 276

CPS1855 Nobutane H.
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                            1985-1989   2010-2014                           50-54   75-79

                     Figure 1. Age-specific breast cancer      Figure 2. Trend in breast cancer
                   death rates in 1985-89 and that in 2010-   death rates for 75-79 and that for
                                    14                                    50-54

                  2.  Methodology
                      Our  data  to  be  analyzed  in  this  study  is  given  by  age  and  period  as
                  indicated in Table 1. The Lexis diagram (Keiding, 1990) indicated in Figure 3 is
                  useful tool for understanding the properties of this type of data. In the figure
                  the vertical axis indicates age and the horizontal axis indicates time (year). And
                  those  oblique  lines  indicate  individuals  who  are  alive  and  they  die  at  the
                  endpoints of those oblique lines.




















                     Figure 3. Lexis diagram          Figure 4. Death rates on the Lexis
                                                                  diagram

                      On  the  Lexis  diagram  the  number  of  deaths  given  by  5-year  age  and
                  period, say  ;  = 1,2, … , ;  = 1,2, … , , equals the number of end points of
                               
                  those  oblique  lines  within  the  squared  area  [ −1 ,  ) × [ −1 ,  ),  where
                                                                         
                                                                                    
                   −1 ,  =  −1 ,  = 5, and death rate given by age and period, that is given
                                  
                        
                  for [ −1 ,  ) × [ −1 ,  ) say  , equals the expectation of   divided by the
                                       
                                                                             
                                               
                             
                  total of individuals’ survival time with in [ −1 ,  ) × [ −1 ,  ) say  . Because
                                                                
                                                                           
                                                                                  
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