Page 56 - Contributed Paper Session (CPS) - Volume 2
P. 56

CPS1419 Jinheum K. et al.
                  3.  Simulation studies
                      Extensive simulations are performed to investigate the finite-sample
                  properties  of  the  estimators  proposed  in  Section  2.  We  assume  a
                  Weibull  distribution  with  a  common  shape  parameter  of  1  as  the
                  baseline  transition  intensities.  However,  different  values  of  the  scale
                  parameter  of  the  Weibull  distribution  are  used  to  impose  some
                  influence  on  relevant  transitions:  01  = 0.006,  02  = 0.003, and  12  =
                  0.004.  We  assume  a  normal  distribution  with  a  mean  of  zero  and  a
                  variance of0.1 for the  frailty. For generation  on covariates, we use a
                  Bernoulli trial with a success probability of 0.5 on a binary covariate 
                                                                                            1
                  and a standard normal random variate on a continuous covariate  .
                                                                                           2
                  We fix the sample size  at 200 and the censoring time  at 365. A total
                  of 500 replications is performed in our simulations.
                      Table provides the relative bias (‘r.Bias’), standard deviation (‘SD’),
                  average of the standard errors (‘SEM’), and coverage probability (‘CP’)
                  of 95% confidence  intervals  for  the  regression  parameters,  and  the
                  variance estimate of the frailty distribution. The SD and SEM are very
                  close to each other and the CPs of the regression parameters are close
                  to  a  nominal  level  of  0.95  regardless  of  the  types  of  the  regression
                  coefficients  considered  in  the  simulations.  Sensitivity  analysis  is  also
                  conducted  to  investigate  how  the  parameter  estimates  behave  in
                  response to different frailty distributions. For simplicity of computation,
                  we consider only the ‘even’ case for the regression parameters. Three
                  different  frailty  distributions  are  used,  along  with (0,0.1):  uniform,
                  double  exponential  (),  and  gamma  ()  distributions  with  specific
                  parameter  value(s)  set  to  keep  the  mean  and  variance  of  each
                  distribution equal to those of the normal distribution. We compare the
                  results of the three distributions with those of the normal distribution.
                  The uniform and double exponential distributions are symmetric, like a
                  normal distribution. However, the uniform distribution has thinner tails
                  than the normal distribution, while the double exponential distribution
                  has  heavier  tails  than  the  normal  distribution.  Unlike  the  normal
                  distribution,  the  gamma  distribution  is  asymmetric.  Despite  the
                  differences among these distributions, overall, there are no differences
                  in the values of r. Bias and CP when comparing the three distributions
                  to the normal distribution. This implies that the proposed estimators are
                  robust to the misspecification of the frailty distribution.



                                                                      45 | I S I   W S C   2 0 1 9
   51   52   53   54   55   56   57   58   59   60   61