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CPS1878 Zakir H. et al.
            3.1  Results of misspecification of the correlation structure
                We  simulate  Poisson  data  from  M1  with  correlated  and  normally
            distributed  random  effects.  We  then  t  the  misspecified  model  M2  with
            uncorrelated random effects and the true model M1 with correlated random
            effects to the same set of simulated data. It can be seen from Figure 1 that the
            percent relative biases of ̂ , ̂  and ̂  are very close for the true model (M1)
                                                 3
                                          2
                                      1
            and the misspecified model (M2). Figure 2 also shows that SEs of ̂ , ̂ , ̂  are
                                                                            1
                                                                               2
                                                                                   3
            almost the same in all nine treatment-block combinations for M1 and M2. It
            follows that the misspecification of the correlation structure of the random
            effects  has  hardly  any  effect  on  the  estimated  fixed  treatment  effect
            parameters.
                       Figure 1: Relative biases of ̂ , ̂  and ̂  for M1 (true model) versus M2
                                             1
                                                       3
                                                2
                                        (misspecified model).
                                        ● M1: correlated random effects  ● M2: uncorrelated random effects
                              ^                    α  2                  ^
                                                    ^
                                                                         α  3
                              α  1
                                                                         ●
                  R                                                      ●
                  el  5
                  at                                              ●
                  iv  ●
                  e         ●        ●                            ●
                  bi  ●        ●   ●   ●   ●   ●   ●
                  as  0   ●   ●   ●   ●   ●   ●   ●
                  (     ●   ●    ●      ●                ●                     ●
                  %                                         ●
                  )       ●                              ●   ●                 ●
                   −5
                                                     ●
                                                     ●
                     (2,10) (2,20) (2,40) (3,15) (3,30) (3,60) (4,20) (4,40) (4,80)   (3,15)   (3,30)   (3,60)   (4,20)   (4,40)   (4,80)   (4,20)   (4,40)   (4,80)
                                            Treatment block combinations (t, b)

                       Figure 2: SEs of ̂ , ̂  and ̂  for M1 (true model) versus M2
                                          2
                                       1
                                                3
                                        (misspecified model).












                                                                                   2
                It can be seen from the left panel that the percent relative bias of ̂ for
                                                                                   
            the true model is negligible (ranges from -5 % to 5 %) in all nine treatment-
            block combinations. However, ̂ seems to be consistently underestimated in
                                           2
                                           
            all nine treatment-block combinations for the misspecified model M2 due to
            misspecification  of  the  correlation  structure  for  the  random  effects.  The

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